Mbeya City
vs
Singida Black Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Singida Black Stars
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.98.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars
| Probability | Mbeya City | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.7% | 28.0% | 49.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.7% | 28.0% | 49.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Singida Black Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.98.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars match preview
Mbeya City faces Singida Black Stars in the Tanzania Premier League, with the match set to kick off on November 2, 2026. According to our model, Mbeya City has a 33% chance of winning, while Singida Black Stars holds a 37% probability, and there is a 30% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Mbeya City stand at 1.18, slightly lower than Singida Black Stars' 1.27. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, with a probability of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Mbeya City has struggled with three consecutive losses, followed by a draw and a win. Conversely, Singida Black Stars has a mixed record, with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last six matches. Both teams have a 51% chance of scoring, and there is a 44% probability of the match featuring over 2.5 goals.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings
Mbeya City
Singida Black Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Singida Black Stars | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mbeya City | 22.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Singida Black Stars | 49.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 50.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 11.2% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars stats
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars recent form
| Mbeya City |
LLLLDW |
| Singida Black Stars |
WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mbeya City and Singida Black Stars season so far
Mbeya City record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Singida Black Stars record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Mbeya City vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Singida Black Stars | Mbeya City | Tanzania Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mbeya City | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.