Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad

0 – 2 Full time

9′Youssef El Gohary
43′Mostafa Al Aash
45′Kenneth SemakulaMahmoud Emad
45′Pascal PhiriNour Alaa
45′Youssef El GoharyAbdellah Ziani
58′Baher El Mohamady
65′Hossam HassanJohn Okoye Ebuka
70′Mohamed ToniMohamed Fakhri
74′Ali SuliemanMohamed El Shamy
76′Karim El Eraki
81′Joseph ArumalaYoussry Wahid
84′Mahmoud HamadaKarim Bambo
89′Salah MohsenAhmed El Armouty
90′John Okoye Ebuka

Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria

AL Masry 41%
Draw 32%
Al Ittihad 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
62 Possession % 38
12 Corners 2
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
3 Saves 5
443 Accurate passes 251

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad overview

Garuda Lions analysis: AL Masry vs Al Ittihad

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAL MasryDrawAl Ittihad
Model28.2%30.2%41.6%
Market45.8%32.5%21.7%
Final41.4%31.9%26.7%
Edge-17.5%-2.4%+19.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

AL Masry ↓ / Al Ittihad → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 12% 8% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

AL Masry and Al Ittihad expected goals

AL Masry 1.01
Al Ittihad 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.32

AL Masry and Al Ittihad attack and defence ratings

AL Masry

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Al Ittihad

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad: result vs prediction

AL Masry 0 – 2 Al Ittihad

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 AL Masry 41.4% 2.42 -17.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 51.2% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 72.5% 1.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2AL Masry41.4%
Draw31.9%
Al Ittihad26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes48.8%
No51.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)68.1%
X2 (draw or away)58.6%
Handicap -1AL Masry win10.6%
Push (exactly one goal)16.8%
Loss72.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-111.1%
0-010.7%

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad stats

AL Masry and Al Ittihad recent form

newest first
AL Masry LLWWLW
Al Ittihad WWLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5AL Masry wins 3Draws 2Al Ittihad wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-12-11Al IttihadAL MasryLeague Cup0-0
2025-08-08AL MasryAl IttihadEgypt Premier League3-1
2025-02-08Al IttihadAL MasryPremier League1-2
2024-08-18Al IttihadAL MasryPremier League0-2
2024-04-04AL MasryAl IttihadPremier League2-3
2023-05-22Al IttihadAL MasryPremier League1-2
2023-01-07AL MasryAl IttihadPremier League2-1
2022-07-18Al IttihadAL MasryPremier League0-0
2022-01-16Al IttihadAL MasryLeague Cup2-2
2021-12-24AL MasryAl IttihadPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

AL Masry vs Al Ittihad odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.8%, draw 32.5%, away 21.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.94 2.71 4.54
Bet365 1.90 2.80 4.33
BetVictor 1.91 2.88 4.00
Betano 2.07 2.80 4.10
Betfair 2.00 3.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.92 2.71 4.40
Pinnacle 2.01 2.87 4.89
SBO 1.99 2.69 3.64
William Hill 2.05 2.70 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.99 ▲ +0.16
X 2.80 ▼ -0.20
2 4.20 ▼ -0.60

14 snapshots recorded, from .