Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah

2 – 1 Full time

15′Mohamed Shawky
16′Mohamed Shawky
23′Ahmed El SageeryMohamed Ezz
30′Tarek Alaa
45′Momen Ahmed RadyMahmoud Behiry
49′Ahmet Atef
51′mawuli wayo
54′mawuli wayoMohamed Hassan
63′Mohamed Ahmed Rabia
66′Abdelrahman Hassan El BanoubyAhmed Elkalamawy
66′Marwane HajijMahmoud Ali Sayed Elaraby
68′Mostafa HamadaHossam Greisha
79′Ibrahim SamyAli El Fil
79′Mahmoud HanyMohamed Hamdy Zaki
81′Wajdi Nabhan
83′Mohamed Hamdy Zaki
88′Mohamed IbrahimMohamed Hussein
88′Ahmet AtefRafaat Khalil
90′Mohamed Hussein
Masr 41%
Draw 32%
Olympic El Qanah 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 4
53 Possession % 47
9 Corners 1
20 Fouls 13
3 Saves 3
274 Accurate passes 226

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Masr vs Olympic El Qanah

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMasrDrawOlympic El Qanah
Model30.3%32.8%36.8%
Market45.2%32.3%22.6%
Final41.5%32.4%26.1%
Edge-14.8%+0.6%+14.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Masr

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Masr ↓ / Olympic El Qan → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 36%
No goals 13%

Masr and Olympic El Qanah expected goals

Masr 1.16
Olympic El Qanah 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.13

Masr and Olympic El Qanah attack and defence ratings

Masr

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Olympic El Qanah

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah: result vs prediction

Masr 2 – 1 Olympic El Qanah

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Masr 41.5% 2.41 -14.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.2% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Masr41.5%
Draw32.4%
Olympic El Qanah26.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.2%
Under 2.565.8%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.9%
12 (either side)67.6%
X2 (draw or away)58.5%
Handicap -1Masr win17.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.8%
Loss61.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-014.0%
0-112.5%

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah stats

Masr and Olympic El Qanah recent form

newest first
Masr DLWWLD
Olympic El Qanah DDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Masr wins 1Draws 2Olympic El Qanah wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-02-24Olympic El QanahMasrSecond League - Group B2-2
2022-11-02MasrOlympic El QanahSecond League - Group B2-3
2022-02-04Olympic El QanahMasrSecond League - Group B1-0
2021-10-08MasrOlympic El QanahSecond League - Group B1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Masr vs Olympic El Qanah odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 32.3%, away 22.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.95 2.74 4.38
Bet365 1.95 2.80 4.00
BetVictor 1.95 2.80 3.90
Betano 2.07 2.90 3.95
Betfair 2.00 3.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.93 2.74 4.25
Pinnacle 2.03 2.94 4.63
SBO 2.01 2.71 3.54
William Hill 2.00 2.75 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.25
X 2.80 ▲ +0.06
2 4.00 ▲ +0.38

6 snapshots recorded, from .