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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon

0 – 2 Full time

37′Kamal Abou Elfetouh
45′Ibrahim Mohamed El BahnasiAhmed Scholes
56′Shady Hussein
64′Shady HusseinIdrissa Thiam
64′Dokou DodoMohamed Refat
68′Ahmed Scholes
74′Ziad Osama ZizoYoussef Oya
79′Joseph Benson OchayaNader Hesham
79′Islam GaberMohammed Sandouqa
80′Idrissa Thiam
85′Adel MahmoudMohamed Said
85′Ahmed FaroukHamza Hassan
85′Ahmed RedaAhmed Dahroug
90′Omar KamalIbrahim Adel
90′Mostafa Gamal
90′Seif Teka

Petrosport Stadium, Cairo

Wadi Degla 46%
Draw 31%
El Mokawloon 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 4
10 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 2
2 Saves 4
293 Accurate passes 179

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWadi DeglaDrawEl Mokawloon
Model42.9%30.2%26.8%
Market46.9%30.7%22.4%
Final45.9%30.6%23.5%
Edge-4.0%-0.5%+4.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Wadi Degla

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wadi Degla ↓ / El Mokawloon → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Wadi Degla and El Mokawloon expected goals

Wadi Degla 1.33
El Mokawloon 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.33

Wadi Degla and El Mokawloon attack and defence ratings

Wadi Degla

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.90 -10%

El Mokawloon

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon: result vs prediction

Wadi Degla 0 – 2 El Mokawloon

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wadi Degla 45.9% 2.18 -4.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 52.1% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.1% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wadi Degla45.9%
Draw30.6%
El Mokawloon23.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.3%
Under 2.558.7%
Both teams to scoreYes47.9%
No52.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.5%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Wadi Degla win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss57.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-011.6%
0-011.0%

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon stats

Wadi Degla and El Mokawloon recent form

newest first
Wadi Degla LDWDWD
El Mokawloon DWLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Wadi Degla wins 5Draws 3El Mokawloon wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-18El MokawloonWadi DeglaEgypt Premier League1-1
2026-02-05Wadi DeglaEl MokawloonEgypt Premier League0-1
2025-04-25Wadi DeglaEl MokawloonSecond League0-1
2024-12-15El MokawloonWadi DeglaSecond League0-0
2021-04-22El MokawloonWadi DeglaPremier League1-0
2020-12-16Wadi DeglaEl MokawloonPremier League2-1
2020-08-06El MokawloonWadi DeglaFriendlies Clubs0-0
2019-04-06Wadi DeglaEl MokawloonPremier League0-0
2018-10-18El MokawloonWadi DeglaPremier League0-1
2018-03-19El MokawloonWadi DeglaPremier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wadi Degla vs El Mokawloon odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 30.7%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.93 2.86 4.22
Bet365 1.85 3.00 4.00
BetVictor 1.87 3.00 4.00
Betano 2.02 2.95 4.05
Betfair 1.91 3.10 4.10
Marathonbet 1.91 2.86 4.10
Pinnacle 1.98 3.04 4.61
SBO 2.02 2.76 3.43
William Hill 2.00 2.90 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.93 ▼ -0.29
X 2.95 ▲ +0.27
2 4.05 ▲ +0.19

11 snapshots recorded, from .