El Mokawloon
vs
Al Ahly
1 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | Dokou Dodo | ||
| 39′ | I. Gaber | ||
| 46′ | D. DodoI. Adel | ||
| 49′ | A. El GazarH. Reyad | ||
| 58′ | Zizo | ||
| 59′ | A. BencharkiE. Ashour | ||
| 59′ | A. MahmoudA. Reda | ||
| 70′ | Zizo | ||
| 75′ | I. ThiamS. Hussein | ||
| 75′ | O. KamalM. Sandouqa | ||
| 82′ | KahrabaH. Shakoush | ||
| 84′ | M. BakrarH. El Shahat | ||
| 84′ | S. BenjdidaA. Abdallah | ||
| 85′ | J. OchayaN. Hesham |
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 177 | Accurate passes | 323 |
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly
| Probability | El Mokawloon | Draw | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.1% | 28.4% | 50.5% |
| Market | 11.6% | 21.4% | 67.0% |
| Final | 14.0% | 23.1% | 62.9% |
| Edge | +9.5% | +7.1% | -16.5% |
Why Al Ahly
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Mokawloon and Al Ahly expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
El Mokawloon and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings
El Mokawloon
Al Ahly
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly: result vs prediction
El Mokawloon 1 – 1 Al Ahly
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Al Ittihad vs Asyut Petrol — team news & stats
- Olympic El Qanah vs El Geish
- Petrojet v AL Masry — match page
- National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla — team news & stats
- Zamalek SC v Abu Qair Semad — match page
- Smouha SC vs Ceramica Cleopatra — team news & stats
- Pyramids FC vs El Gouna FC
- Future FC vs Wadi Degla
Before and after this match
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 62.9% | 1.59 | -16.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Mokawloon | 14.0% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| Al Ahly | 62.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.3% |
| No | 52.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 53.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 12.4% | |
| 0-2 | 10.3% |
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly stats
El Mokawloon and Al Ahly recent form
| El Mokawloon |
WLLWDD |
| Al Ahly |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | El Mokawloon | Al Ahly | Egypt Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-12-30 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | League Cup | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-04 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2023-11-04 | El Mokawloon | Al Ahly | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2023-07-16 | El Mokawloon | Al Ahly | Premier League | 1-4 |
| 2023-03-07 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2022-11-27 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2022-07-30 | El Mokawloon | Al Ahly | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2022-01-21 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | League Cup | 1-1 |
| 2021-11-19 | Al Ahly | El Mokawloon | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
El Mokawloon vs Al Ahly odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.6%, draw 21.4%, away 67.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 7.80 | 4.30 | 1.37 |
| 1xBet | 8.25 | 4.30 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 3.70 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 7.50 | 4.10 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.30 | 4.25 | 1.42 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 7.80 | 4.40 | 1.38 |
| Marathonbet | 7.90 | 4.30 | 1.33 |
| Pinnacle | 8.44 | 4.30 | 1.39 |
| SBO | 9.35 | 4.46 | 1.36 |
| Superbet | 7.20 | 4.40 | 1.39 |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 4.00 | 1.41 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 4.20 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .