Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla

3 – 1 Full time

16′O. Faisal
32′A. Rayan
44′A. Yehia
48′O. Faisal
63′S. KibouR. Arfaoui
63′A. ShikaM. Abdelsalam
66′Y. AnnorM. Shalaby
73′Hazem El AskryA. Gomaa
80′A. MadbouliM. Naser
80′O. FaisalOufa
80′A. ShoushaA. Rashdan
80′M. AshrafM. Ekbad
90′A. RayanA. Medhat
90′BencharkiR. El Metwaly
National Bank of Egypt 50%
Draw 29%
Ghazl El Mehalla 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 3
54 Possession % 46
9 Corners 8
7 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
429 Accurate passes 334

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla overview

Garuda Lions analysis: National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNational Bank of EgyptDrawGhazl El Mehalla
Model39.4%31.1%29.5%
Market53.9%28.2%18.0%
Final50.2%28.9%20.8%
Edge-14.5%+3.0%+11.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

National Bank ↓ / Ghazl El Mehal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

National Bank of Egypt and Ghazl El Mehalla expected goals

National Bank of Egypt 1.23
Ghazl El Mehalla 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.26

National Bank of Egypt and Ghazl El Mehalla attack and defence ratings

National Bank of Egypt

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Ghazl El Mehalla

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla: result vs prediction

National Bank of Egypt 3 – 1 Ghazl El Mehalla

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 National Bank of Egypt 50.2% 1.99 -14.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.7% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 53.2% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.6% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2National Bank of Egypt50.2%
Draw28.9%
Ghazl El Mehalla20.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.3%
Under 2.560.7%
Both teams to scoreYes46.8%
No53.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.2%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.8%
Handicap -1National Bank of Egypt win17.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss60.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-011.8%
1-011.5%

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla stats

National Bank of Egypt and Ghazl El Mehalla recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3National Bank of Egypt wins 7Draws 0Ghazl El Mehalla wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21Ghazl El MehallaNational Bank of EgyptEgypt Premier League1-1
2025-08-10National Bank of EgyptGhazl El MehallaEgypt Premier League0-0
2025-03-18National Bank of EgyptGhazl El MehallaLeague Cup1-1
2025-03-15Ghazl El MehallaNational Bank of EgyptCup0-1
2025-01-01Ghazl El MehallaNational Bank of EgyptPremier League0-1
2023-07-10Ghazl El MehallaNational Bank of EgyptPremier League0-0
2023-01-30National Bank of EgyptGhazl El MehallaPremier League2-2
2022-07-12National Bank of EgyptGhazl El MehallaPremier League2-1
2021-12-20Ghazl El MehallaNational Bank of EgyptPremier League1-1
2021-08-21National Bank of EgyptGhazl El MehallaPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

National Bank of Egypt vs Ghazl El Mehalla odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.9%, draw 28.2%, away 18.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.25 5.10
1xBet 1.67 3.20 5.30
Bet365 1.70 3.20 5.25
BetVictor 1.65 3.20 5.00
Betano 1.75 3.25 5.10
Betfair 1.70 3.40 5.00
Dafabet 1.73 3.25 5.20
Marathonbet 1.65 3.20 5.20
Pinnacle 1.71 3.34 5.94
SBO 1.67 3.08 4.46
Superbet 1.74 3.25 5.00
Unibet 1.67 3.55 4.90
William Hill 1.73 3.25 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.70 ▼ -0.02
X 3.25 ▲ +0.11
2 5.10 ▼ -0.20

12 snapshots recorded, from .