Garuda Lions
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Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Enppi vs Masr

2 – 1 Full time

33′Kahraba
34′Mohamed Rabia
42′A. Ibrahim
46′M. RabiaW. Nabhan
46′MessiA. Atef
46′Abdelrahman El SakranM. Hajij
56′W. Nabhan
59′H. AbdallahM. Essam
59′A. EhabM. Goldy
63′M. BasirS. Elkhashab
67′Marwane Hajij
74′A. HawashM. Hathout
74′Z. KamalO. Bodian
78′Mahmoud Sayed OkaaO. Khedr
81′Mohamed Hamdi
90′T. AlaaS. Ibrahim

Petrosport Stadium, Cairo

Enppi 26%
Draw 34%
Masr 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
43 Possession % 57
4 Corners 2
14 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
254 Accurate passes 375

Enppi vs Masr overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Enppi vs Masr

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEnppiDrawMasr
Model27.1%28.3%44.6%
Market26.0%36.0%38.0%
Final26.2%34.1%39.7%
Edge+1.1%-7.7%+6.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Masr

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.03.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Masr below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Enppi ↓ / Masr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 9% 10% 6% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Enppi and Masr expected goals

Enppi 1.03
Masr 1.90

Total expected goals: 2.92

Enppi and Masr attack and defence ratings

Enppi

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Masr

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Enppi vs Masr: result vs prediction

Enppi 2 – 1 Masr

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Enppi vs Masr markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Masr 39.7% 2.52 +6.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.8% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.4% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Enppi26.2%
Draw34.1%
Masr39.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.548.1%
Under 2.551.9%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.3%
12 (either side)65.9%
X2 (draw or away)73.8%
Handicap -1Masr win33.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss43.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
0-19.8%
1-29.1%

Enppi vs Masr stats

Enppi and Masr recent form

newest first
Enppi DLLLLD
Masr WWLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Enppi vs Masr head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Enppi wins 4Draws 1Masr wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-05EnppiMasrEgypt Premier League1-0
2025-05-25EnppiMasrPremier League1-1
2024-12-24MasrEnppiPremier League0-0
2024-07-21EnppiMasrPremier League1-4
2024-02-26MasrEnppiPremier League0-1
2020-10-03MasrEnppiPremier League1-1
2020-07-26EnppiMasrFriendlies Clubs1-1
2020-01-18EnppiMasrPremier League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Enppi vs Masr odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.0%, draw 36.0%, away 38.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.60 2.56 2.38
1xBet 3.59 2.48 2.40
Bet365 3.30 2.55 2.35
BetVictor 3.30 2.60 2.30
Betano 3.65 2.55 2.42
Betfair 3.30 2.63 2.55
Dafabet 3.65 2.55 2.42
Marathonbet 3.50 2.48 2.38
Pinnacle 3.81 2.58 2.51
Superbet 3.60 2.57 2.42
Unibet 2.95 2.75 2.60
William Hill 3.50 2.50 2.45

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.54 ▲ +0.66
X 2.55 ▼ -0.07
2 2.42 ▼ -0.32

14 snapshots recorded, from .