Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 3

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt

0 – 1 Full time

2′Mody Naser
18′Che Corines Bodne
42′Rashad Metwaly
46′Y. AnnorS. Bouchama
46′M. NaserBencharki
47′Bakr Fawzi
55′Ahmed Madbouli
59′A. MadbouliShefo
59′M. DowidarOufa
61′B. F. AbuA. Keshkesh
61′Z. TarekI. Ashraf
61′M. Abdel HamidM. Tayeb
69′R. El MetwalyAnderson Ceara
74′M. Abdel Aleim
78′A. El KhamisiA. Morgan
83′M. AlaaJ. Egagy
86′Ahmed Meteb

Asyut University Stadium, AsyutReferee: S. El Amrawy

Asyut Petrol 28%
Draw 33%
National Bank of Egypt 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
43 Possession % 57
1 Corners 6
11 Fouls 20
4 Offsides 7
3 Saves 4
239 Accurate passes 331

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsyut PetrolDrawNational Bank of Egypt
Model39.2%32.7%28.1%
Market24.8%33.3%41.8%
Final28.4%33.2%38.4%
Edge+14.4%-0.6%-13.8%

Confidence: Low

Why National Bank of Egypt

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asyut Petrol ↓ / National Bank → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 10% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Asyut Petrol and National Bank of Egypt expected goals

Asyut Petrol 1.14
National Bank of Egypt 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.06

Asyut Petrol and National Bank of Egypt attack and defence ratings

Asyut Petrol

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.85 -15%

National Bank of Egypt

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt: result vs prediction

Asyut Petrol 0 – 1 National Bank of Egypt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 National Bank of Egypt 38.4% 2.60 -13.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 57.6% 1.73 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.9% 1.39 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asyut Petrol28.4%
Draw33.2%
National Bank of Egypt38.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.1%
Under 2.565.9%
Both teams to scoreYes42.4%
No57.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.6%
12 (either side)66.8%
X2 (draw or away)71.6%
Handicap -1National Bank of Egypt win10.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss71.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-014.0%
1-013.1%

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt stats

Asyut Petrol and National Bank of Egypt recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Asyut Petrol wins 0Draws 1National Bank of Egypt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-01-04National Bank of EgyptAsyut PetrolCup1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asyut Petrol vs National Bank of Egypt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 24.8%, draw 33.3%, away 41.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.70 2.78 2.18
1xBet 3.77 2.66 2.18
Bet365 3.80 2.70 2.10
BetVictor 3.50 2.75 2.15
Betano 3.75 2.77 2.20
Betfair 3.80 2.80 2.20
Dafabet 3.70 2.75 2.25
Marathonbet 3.68 2.66 2.16
SBO 3.31 2.58 2.16
Superbet 3.65 2.75 2.25
Unibet 3.30 2.80 2.20
William Hill 3.60 2.70 2.25

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.