CAF Champions League · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Zamalek SC vs APR

1 – 0 Full time

1′A. Sherif
Zamalek SC 74%
Draw 19%
APR 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Zamalek SC vs APR overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zamalek SC vs APR

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZamalek SCDrawAPR
Model71.8%22.1%6.1%
Market74.5%18.0%7.5%
Final73.8%19.0%7.2%
Edge-0.7%+1.0%-0.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Zamalek SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.37.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zamalek SC ↓ / APR → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 20% 2 19% 3 11% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 64%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 12%

Zamalek SC and APR expected goals

Zamalek SC 1.79
APR 0.37

Total expected goals: 2.16

Zamalek SC and APR attack and defence ratings

Zamalek SC

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 0.58 -42%

APR

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zamalek SC vs APR: result vs prediction

Zamalek SC 1 – 0 APR

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Champions League

Before and after this match

Zamalek SC vs APR markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Zamalek SC 73.8% 1.36 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.5% 1.58 — —
Both teams to score No 73.6% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Zamalek SC win 44.4% 2.25 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zamalek SC73.8%
Draw19.0%
APR7.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.5%
Under 2.563.5%
Both teams to scoreYes26.4%
No73.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.8%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)26.2%
Handicap -1Zamalek SC win44.4%
Push (exactly one goal)27.5%
Loss28.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.9%
2-018.5%
0-012.3%

Zamalek SC vs APR stats

Zamalek SC and APR recent form

newest first
Zamalek SC WWLWWW
APR LWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zamalek SC vs APR head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Zamalek SC wins 0Draws 0APR wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-16APRZamalek SCCAF Champions League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zamalek SC vs APR odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.5%, draw 18.0%, away 7.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.18 5.35 12.90
Bet365 1.20 5.00 11.00
Betano 1.24 4.85 10.50
Betfair 1.20 5.00 12.00
Dafabet 1.23 5.60 12.00
Marathonbet 1.17 5.35 12.25
Pinnacle 1.23 4.97 9.35
William Hill 1.22 4.80 13.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.21 ▼ -0.03
X 5.00 ▲ +0.43
2 12.00 ▲ +0.40

10 snapshots recorded, from .