Azam
vs
Masr
1 – 0 Full time
| 66′ | I. Nado |
Azam vs Masr overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Azam vs Masr
| Probability | Azam | Draw | Masr |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.9% | 26.6% | 18.5% |
| Market | 41.5% | 29.7% | 28.8% |
| Final | 44.9% | 28.9% | 26.2% |
| Edge | +3.3% | -0.8% | -2.6% |
Why Azam
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Azam below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Azam and Masr expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Azam and Masr attack and defence ratings
Azam
Masr
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Azam vs Masr: result vs prediction
Azam 1 – 0 Masr
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
Azam vs Masr markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 44.9% | 2.23 | +3.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 44.9% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Masr | 26.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.6% |
| No | 51.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win | 30.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 2-0 | 10.9% |
Azam vs Masr stats
Azam vs Masr head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | Masr | Azam | CAF Confederation Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Azam vs Masr odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 29.7%, away 28.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.20 | 3.14 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.75 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 2.92 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.23 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.04 | 3.02 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .