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Premier Soccer League · ·Matchday 8

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy

Garuda Lions Prediction: Orlando Pirates

2 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability

Bet on Orlando Pirates

Ellis Park, Gauteng Province

Orlando Pirates 74%
Draw 19%
TS Galaxy 7%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Orlando Pirates wins
74%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
24%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
20% of simulated outcomes

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrlando PiratesDrawTS Galaxy
Model79.6%16.6%3.7%
Market71.9%19.8%8.3%
Final73.8%19.0%7.2%
Edge+7.8%-3.2%-4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Orlando Pirates

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.13 vs 0.31.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Orlando Pirates below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Best available price on the pick: 1.26, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy match preview

Orlando Pirates enter the match against TS Galaxy with a strong probability of winning at 80%, reflecting their recent form of three consecutive wins and a draw. The expected goals for Orlando Pirates stand at 2.13, suggesting a solid attacking performance, while TS Galaxy is projected to score only 0.31 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 20% chance of occurring.

In contrast, TS Galaxy's recent form shows two losses, a draw, and a win in their last six matches, indicating struggles in performance. Historically, Orlando Pirates have dominated their encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches without conceding. With an overall confidence grade of C, this matchup presents a significant challenge for TS Galaxy.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orlando Pirate ↓ / TS Galaxy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 18% 2 20% 3 14% 4+ 12%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 9%

Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy expected goals

Orlando Pirates 2.13
TS Galaxy 0.31

Total expected goals: 2.44

Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy attack and defence ratings

Orlando Pirates

Attack 1.74 +74%
Defence 0.39 -61%

TS Galaxy

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orlando Pirates 73.8% 1.35 +7.8% 1.26
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 75.9% 1.32 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 92.8% 1.08 — —
Handicap -1 Orlando Pirates win 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orlando Pirates73.8%
Draw19.0%
TS Galaxy7.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.1%
Under 2.555.9%
Both teams to scoreYes24.1%
No75.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)92.8%
12 (either side)81.0%
X2 (draw or away)26.2%
Handicap -1Orlando Pirates win54.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.8%
Loss20.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-019.7%
1-018.0%
3-014.0%
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Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy stats

Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy recent form

newest first
Orlando Pirates WWWDWW
TS Galaxy LLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orlando Pirates and TS Galaxy season so far

league record

Orlando Pirates record

  • They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.5 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.

TS Galaxy record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Orlando Pirates wins 1Draws 2TS Galaxy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22TS GalaxyOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League0-6
2025-09-30Orlando PiratesTS GalaxyPremier Soccer League2-0
2025-05-17Orlando PiratesTS GalaxyPremier Soccer League1-1
2024-10-29TS GalaxyOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League0-2
2024-05-18TS GalaxyOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-12-09Orlando PiratesTS GalaxyPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-04-30TS GalaxyOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League1-2
2022-09-10Orlando PiratesTS GalaxyPremier Soccer League2-0
2022-05-02TS GalaxyOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League1-0
2021-12-11Orlando PiratesTS GalaxyPremier Soccer League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.9%, draw 19.8%, away 8.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.26 4.50 10.70
Betfair 1.25 4.60 11.00
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Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.25 —
X 4.55 —
2 10.85 ▲ +0.25

3 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Orlando Pirates Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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