Premier Soccer League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Marumo Gallants
vs
Orlando Pirates
0 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Katlego OtladisaOnke Moletshe | ||
| 32′ | Kabelo Kgosietsile | ||
| 47′ | Yanela Mbuthuma | ||
| 52′ | Mlungisi SikakaneNelson Ralenkoane | ||
| 72′ | Saketso Steven MoremiThato Mohlamme | ||
| 72′ | Simo Bright MbheleThabiso Kutumela | ||
| 74′ | Nkosinathi Sibisi | ||
| 75′ | Yanela MbuthumaSebastian Pedersen | ||
| 75′ | Kabelo KgosietsileMpho Padime | ||
| 83′ | Tshepang MoremiOswin Appollis | ||
| 83′ | Simphiwe MasilelaMasindi Confidence Nemtajela | ||
| 83′ | Nkosikhona ndabaNeo Rapoo |
Marumo Gallants
9%
Draw
19%
Orlando Pirates
72%
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 3 | Saves | 0 |
| 240 | Accurate passes | 513 |
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates
| Probability | Marumo Gallants | Draw | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 3.5% | 14.2% | 82.3% |
| Market | 10.8% | 20.9% | 68.3% |
| Final | 9.0% | 19.2% | 71.8% |
| Edge | -7.3% | -6.7% | +14.0% |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.41.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Orlando Pirates below the model: +14.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates expected goals
Marumo Gallants
0.41
Orlando Pirates
2.10
Total expected goals: 2.51
Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates attack and defence ratings
Marumo Gallants
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.32 +32%
Orlando Pirates
Attack
1.73 +73%
Defence
0.45 -55%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates: result vs prediction
Marumo Gallants 0 – 2 Orlando Pirates
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 71.8% | 1.39 | +14.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.0% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Marumo Gallants | 9.0% |
| Draw | 19.2% | |
| Orlando Pirates | 71.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 51.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 23.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 18.3% |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-3 | 14.6% |
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates stats
Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates recent form
| Marumo Gallants |
LDLLLD |
| Orlando Pirates |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Marumo Gallants and Orlando Pirates going into this match
Marumo Gallants record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orlando Pirates record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Marumo Gallants wins
1Draws
7Orlando Pirates wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League | 3-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | League Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-12 | Marumo Gallants | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | Cup | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-01 | Marumo Gallants | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-24 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League | 8-1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Marumo Gallants | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 0-2 |
| 2022-08-24 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-09 | Marumo Gallants | Orlando Pirates | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-20 | Orlando Pirates | Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Marumo Gallants vs Orlando Pirates odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.8%, draw 20.9%, away 68.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.10 | 4.40 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.33 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 4.40 | 1.33 |
| Betano | 7.70 | 4.40 | 1.38 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 4.60 | 1.30 |
| Marathonbet | 8.60 | 4.40 | 1.29 |
| Pinnacle | 8.36 | 4.52 | 1.36 |
| William Hill | 9.00 | 4.20 | 1.36 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
8.50 ▼ -3.25
X
4.40 ▼ -0.70
2
1.35 ▲ +0.15
9 snapshots recorded, from .