Orlando Pirates
vs
Durban City
2 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Mthetheleli Sibansezwe Mthiyane | ||
| 26′ | Jean Lwamba | ||
| 40′ | B. Poggenpoel | ||
| 43′ | K. Jurgens | ||
| 45′ | Gastón SirinoSamkelo Maseko | ||
| 57′ | Lebone Seema | ||
| 60′ | Simphiwe Masilela | ||
| 67′ | Fezile·GcabaDomingo | ||
| 68′ | K. JurgensEthan Brooks | ||
| 69′ | Tshepang Moremi | ||
| 72′ | Yanela MbuthumaSebastian Pedersen | ||
| 72′ | Mthetheleli Sibansezwe MthiyaneSimphiwe Selepe | ||
| 72′ | Kabelo KgosietsileOswin Appollis | ||
| 83′ | B. PoggenpoelBongani-Junior Mthembu | ||
| 83′ | Simphiwe MasilelaBheki Mabuza | ||
| 83′ | Tshepang MoremiMpho Padime | ||
| 85′ | Jean LwambaTashreeq Morris |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 11 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 455 | Accurate passes | 229 |
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando Pirates vs Durban City
| Probability | Orlando Pirates | Draw | Durban City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.9% | 20.8% | 4.3% |
| Market | 68.6% | 21.7% | 9.6% |
| Final | 70.2% | 21.5% | 8.3% |
| Edge | +6.2% | -0.9% | -5.3% |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.37.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Orlando Pirates below the model: +6.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orlando Pirates and Durban City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Orlando Pirates and Durban City attack and defence ratings
Orlando Pirates
Durban City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City: result vs prediction
Orlando Pirates 2 – 0 Durban City
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 70.2% | 1.42 | +6.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 70.2% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Durban City | 8.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 20.5% |
| No | 79.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 29.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 38.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.0% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 22.1% |
| 2-0 | 20.4% | |
| 0-0 | 13.2% |
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City stats
Orlando Pirates and Durban City recent form
| Orlando Pirates |
WDWWWD |
| Durban City |
WWDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orlando Pirates and Durban City going into this match
Orlando Pirates record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Durban City record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Orlando Pirates | Durban City | 8 Cup | 2-1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Orlando Pirates | Durban City | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Durban City | Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orlando Pirates vs Durban City odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.6%, draw 21.7%, away 9.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30 | 4.15 | 10.40 |
| Bet365 | 1.33 | 4.33 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.20 | 9.50 |
| Betano | 1.38 | 4.20 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.30 | 4.20 | 9.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 4.15 | 9.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.33 | 4.44 | 10.36 |
| SBO | 1.31 | 3.94 | 7.91 |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.00 | 10.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .