Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows

1 – 1 Full time

49′Philani Kumalo
61′Sphesihle JezaMichel N'Guessan
61′Christian Saile Basomboli
70′R Van NeelS. Sithole
71′Tebogo PotsaneGrant Margeman
81′Philani KumaloAngelo Van Rooi
83′Christian Saile Basombolineo mokhachane
90′Themba·Mantshiyane

Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium, BloemfonteinReferee: Msimeleli Mabuto, South Africa

Siwelele 33%
Draw 33%
Golden Arrows 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
10 Corners 5
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
304 Accurate passes 343

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Siwelele vs Golden Arrows

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySiweleleDrawGolden Arrows
Model25.7%34.7%39.5%
Market34.8%32.0%33.2%
Final32.6%32.7%34.8%
Edge-9.1%+2.7%+6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Golden Arrows

  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Golden Arrows below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Siwelele ↓ / Golden Arrows → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 15% 9% 1 11% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Siwelele and Golden Arrows expected goals

Siwelele 0.79
Golden Arrows 1.05

Total expected goals: 1.84

Siwelele and Golden Arrows attack and defence ratings

Siwelele

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.64 +64%

Golden Arrows

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows: result vs prediction

Siwelele 1 – 1 Golden Arrows

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Golden Arrows 34.8% 2.88 +6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.0% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 67.4% 1.48 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.5% 1.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Siwelele32.6%
Draw32.7%
Golden Arrows34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.0%
Under 2.572.0%
Both teams to scoreYes36.8%
No63.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)67.3%
X2 (draw or away)67.4%
Handicap -1Golden Arrows win16.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss60.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.2%
0-115.3%
1-114.5%

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows stats

Siwelele and Golden Arrows recent form

newest first
Siwelele LLDLLD
Golden Arrows LWDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Siwelele and Golden Arrows going into this match

league record before kick-off

Siwelele record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.

Golden Arrows record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Siwelele wins 1Draws 0Golden Arrows wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-24Golden ArrowsSiwelelePremier Soccer League0-0
2025-08-09SiweleleGolden ArrowsPremier Soccer League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Siwelele vs Golden Arrows odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.8%, draw 32.0%, away 33.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.58 2.80 2.73
Bet365 2.60 2.80 2.70
BetVictor 2.60 2.88 2.75
Betano 2.65 2.90 2.82
Betfair 2.63 2.90 2.63
Marathonbet 2.58 2.80 2.73
Pinnacle 2.65 2.89 2.82
William Hill 2.62 2.75 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 ▲ +0.03
X 2.84 —
2 2.74 ▲ +0.04

5 snapshots recorded, from .