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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Milford FC vs Richards Bay

5 – 1 Full time

24′Lindokuhle Sphuzo Zikhali
28′Siphosethu Ndlabi
45′M Zikakayo
45′S. NzamaLundi Mahala
45′Lwandile Sandile MabuyaLuyanda Khumalo
54′M Zikakayo
58′Sbani KhumaloS. Gwele
62′Siphosethu NdlabiSicelo Masilela
62′B SigomosheJ Gxakoshe
63′M ZikakayoTonny Likhona Mbunga
76′C. MthethwaM Mkhize
76′S MdluliPhakamani Jwara
82′Sicelo Masilela
84′Phakamani Jwara
90′Nqaba XuluT. Ndelu
90′J Gxakoshe
Milford FC 37%
Draw 35%
Richards Bay 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 3
62 Possession % 38
6 Corners 6
11 Fouls 13
5 Offsides 0
2 Saves 2
573 Accurate passes 312

Milford FC vs Richards Bay overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Milford FC vs Richards Bay

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMilford FCDrawRichards Bay
Model36.6%37.6%25.8%
Market36.9%34.1%29.0%
Final36.8%35.0%28.2%
Edge-0.3%+3.5%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Milford FC

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Milford FC ↓ / Richards Bay → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 13% 1 17% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Milford FC and Richards Bay expected goals

Milford FC 0.90
Richards Bay 0.71

Total expected goals: 1.60

Milford FC and Richards Bay attack and defence ratings

Milford FC

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Richards Bay

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Milford FC vs Richards Bay: result vs prediction

Milford FC 5 – 1 Richards Bay

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Milford FC vs Richards Bay markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Milford FC 36.8% 2.71 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.2% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 68.7% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.4% 1.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Milford FC36.8%
Draw35.0%
Richards Bay28.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.8%
Under 2.578.2%
Both teams to scoreYes31.3%
No68.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.8%
12 (either side)65.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.2%
Handicap -1Milford FC win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss63.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.4%
1-016.8%
1-114.0%

Milford FC vs Richards Bay stats

Milford FC and Richards Bay recent form

newest first
Milford FC DLDWWL
Richards Bay LDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Milford FC and Richards Bay going into this match

league record before kick-off

Milford FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Richards Bay record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Milford FC vs Richards Bay head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Milford FC vs Richards Bay odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 34.1%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.47 2.59 3.24
Bet365 2.35 2.70 3.10
BetVictor 2.45 2.80 3.00
Betano 2.50 2.72 3.20
Betfair 2.38 2.75 3.10
Marathonbet 2.45 2.59 3.16
Pinnacle 2.54 2.63 3.30
William Hill 2.50 2.62 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.46 —
X 2.67 ▼ -0.01
2 3.13 ▲ +0.03

5 snapshots recorded, from .