Premier Soccer League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Chippa United
vs
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 – 1 Full time
| 37′ | Teboho Mokoena | ||
| 45′ | kutlwano letlhakuCassius Mailula | ||
| 55′ | N. MlotshwaMuzomuhle Mcebiseni Khanyi | ||
| 55′ | Sammy SeabiIbrahim Bance | ||
| 59′ | Muzomuhle Mcebiseni Khanyi | ||
| 63′ | Fawaaz basadienAubrey Modiba | ||
| 63′ | Brayan Leon MunizIqraam Rayners | ||
| 72′ | S. MthantiAntonio Van Wyk | ||
| 75′ | Azola tshobeniKhaya mfecane | ||
| 75′ | Azola MatroseSirgio Kammies | ||
| 78′ | Sirgio Kammies | ||
| 84′ | Tashreeq MatthewsNuno Santos | ||
| 86′ | Justice FiguareidoSeun Ndlovu | ||
| 90′ | Grant Kekana | ||
| 90′ | Antonio Van Wyk |
Chippa United
10%
Draw
19%
Mamelodi Sundowns
71%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 34 | Possession % | 66 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 6 | Saves | 0 |
| 223 | Accurate passes | 492 |
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns
| Probability | Chippa United | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9.7% | 17.9% | 72.4% |
| Market | 9.6% | 19.5% | 70.9% |
| Final | 9.6% | 19.1% | 71.3% |
| Edge | +0.1% | -1.6% | +1.5% |
Why Mamelodi Sundowns
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.77.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
83%
3+ goals
60%
No goals
5%
Chippa United and Mamelodi Sundowns expected goals
Chippa United
0.77
Mamelodi Sundowns
2.35
Total expected goals: 3.12
Chippa United and Mamelodi Sundowns attack and defence ratings
Chippa United
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
1.28 +28%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Attack
2.00 +100%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns: result vs prediction
Chippa United 1 – 1 Mamelodi Sundowns
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 71.3% | 1.40 | +1.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chippa United | 9.6% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 71.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.0% |
| No | 49.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 28.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 49.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 28.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.7% |
| 0-3 | 9.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns stats
Chippa United and Mamelodi Sundowns recent form
| Chippa United |
DDLDDW |
| Mamelodi Sundowns |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chippa United and Mamelodi Sundowns going into this match
Chippa United record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Chippa United wins
2Draws
8Mamelodi Sundowns wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 4-1 |
| 2025-08-09 | Chippa United | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-14 | Chippa United | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-07 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 3-0 |
| 2024-03-09 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Chippa United | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 0-2 |
| 2023-01-10 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 2-1 |
| 2022-09-07 | Chippa United | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 0-1 |
| 2022-02-07 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-24 | Chippa United | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chippa United vs Mamelodi Sundowns odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.6%, draw 19.5%, away 70.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 9.70 | 4.65 | 1.28 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 4.33 | 1.28 |
| BetVictor | 9.50 | 4.75 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 4.70 | 1.33 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| Marathonbet | 9.30 | 4.65 | 1.27 |
| Pinnacle | 10.01 | 4.91 | 1.29 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 4.60 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
9.50 ▼ -0.22
X
4.68 ▲ +0.08
2
1.29 —
3 snapshots recorded, from .