Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United

1 – 1 Full time

39′Lehlohonolo Bradley Mojela
42′Ngoanamello Rammala
45′Givemore·KhupeT. Khiba
49′Sinoxolo Kwayiba
55′Terrence Mashego
63′Raoul DanielsQuwan Christiano Plaatjies
63′Bethuel Muzeu
67′Bethuel MuzeuChibuike·Ohizu
67′Lehlohonolo Bradley MojelaOlerato Mandi
67′Oageng PhiriThabo Nkwana
74′Olerato Mandi
76′Sinoxolo KwayibaQobolwakhe sibande
76′T. LebitsoC. Butsaka
83′Tshepo MokoaneDaniel Cardoso
86′Bradley Grobler
87′Bradley Grobler
90′L. Matlou

Danie Craven Stadium, StellenboschReferee: Moses Mbhabeleli Kheswa, South Africa

Stellenbosch 37%
Draw 34%
Sekhukhune United 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
54 Possession % 46
7 Corners 1
18 Fouls 21
0 Offsides 2
3 Saves 3
282 Accurate passes 234

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStellenboschDrawSekhukhune United
Model44.2%33.2%22.6%
Market35.0%34.7%30.3%
Final37.3%34.3%28.4%
Edge+9.2%-1.5%-7.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Stellenbosch

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.76.
  • The market prices Stellenbosch below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stellenbosch ↓ / Sekhukhune Uni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 10% 1 16% 14% 2 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 30%
No goals 16%

Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United expected goals

Stellenbosch 1.17
Sekhukhune United 0.76

Total expected goals: 1.93

Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United attack and defence ratings

Stellenbosch

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Sekhukhune United

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United: result vs prediction

Stellenbosch 1 – 1 Sekhukhune United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stellenbosch 37.3% 2.68 +9.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.7% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score No 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.6% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.8% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stellenbosch37.3%
Draw34.3%
Sekhukhune United28.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.530.3%
Under 2.569.7%
Both teams to scoreYes37.9%
No62.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.6%
12 (either side)65.7%
X2 (draw or away)62.7%
Handicap -1Stellenbosch win19.8%
Push (exactly one goal)24.5%
Loss55.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.9%
1-015.7%
1-114.2%

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United stats

Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stellenbosch and Sekhukhune United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stellenbosch record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Sekhukhune United record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Stellenbosch wins 5Draws 1Sekhukhune United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-17StellenboschSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League3-1
2026-01-20Sekhukhune UnitedStellenboschPremier Soccer League0-1
2025-08-23Sekhukhune UnitedStellenbosch8 Cup1-1
2025-08-16StellenboschSekhukhune United8 Cup2-0
2025-03-16Sekhukhune UnitedStellenboschPremier Soccer League1-2
2025-02-01StellenboschSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League1-1
2024-04-17Sekhukhune UnitedStellenboschPremier Soccer League1-1
2024-04-06StellenboschSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League0-0
2023-05-07StellenboschSekhukhune UnitedCup0-0
2023-01-14StellenboschSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stellenbosch vs Sekhukhune United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.0%, draw 34.7%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.58 2.59 2.97
Bet365 2.30 2.80 3.10
BetVictor 2.55 2.88 2.88
Marathonbet 2.58 2.59 2.97
Pinnacle 2.71 2.58 3.12
William Hill 2.62 2.62 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.58 ▲ +0.08
X 2.60 ▼ -0.14
2 2.99 ▲ +0.09

2 snapshots recorded, from .