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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United

0 – 1 Full time

39′S. GeorgeMpho Welcome Maoke
41′Ntandoyenkosi Nkosi
45′Thulani Matthews NdlelaKhetukuthula Ndlovu
45′Aphiwe MpothweMotsie Mervyn Matima
45′Wonderboy MakhubuLesedi Kabinga
50′V. Zulu
53′Mpho MvelaseEdson Khumalo
54′Victor Letsoalo
55′Lennol Mathebula
65′Kwanda MngonyamaNtsako Makhubela
73′Khetukuthula Ndlovu
77′Anslin WilliamsJunior Zindoga
77′Ntandoyenkosi NkosiMlungisi Mbunjana
77′Camagu MdevulanaT. Kakora
83′Ebrahim Seedat
86′M. ZwaneSphiwe·Mahlangu
90′Tatenda tavengwa

Mbombela Stadium, MbombelaReferee: Philangenkosi Khumalo, South Africa

TS Galaxy 47%
Draw 29%
Kruger United 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
48 Possession % 52
3 Corners 3
14 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 2
5 Saves 4
221 Accurate passes 274

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: TS Galaxy vs Kruger United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTS GalaxyDrawKruger United
Model63.5%23.4%13.1%
Market41.4%31.2%27.4%
Final46.9%29.3%23.8%
Edge+22.1%-7.9%-14.3%

Confidence: Low

Why TS Galaxy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.75.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices TS Galaxy below the model: +22.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

TS Galaxy ↓ / Kruger United → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 10% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

TS Galaxy and Kruger United expected goals

TS Galaxy 1.90
Kruger United 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.65

TS Galaxy and Kruger United attack and defence ratings

TS Galaxy

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Kruger United

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.61 +61%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United: result vs prediction

TS Galaxy 0 – 1 Kruger United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 TS Galaxy 46.9% 2.13 +22.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.6% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score No 54.1% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.2% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 TS Galaxy win 39.2% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2TS Galaxy46.9%
Draw29.3%
Kruger United23.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%
Both teams to scoreYes45.9%
No54.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.2%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)53.1%
Handicap -1TS Galaxy win39.2%
Push (exactly one goal)24.6%
Loss36.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.7%
1-012.4%
1-111.1%

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United stats

TS Galaxy and Kruger United recent form

newest first
TS Galaxy DWDLDD
Kruger United LLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

TS Galaxy and Kruger United going into this match

league record before kick-off

TS Galaxy record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Kruger United record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

TS Galaxy vs Kruger United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 31.2%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.19 2.86 3.42
Bet365 2.15 2.90 3.25
BetVictor 2.20 3.00 3.30
Betano 2.20 3.00 3.40
Betfair 2.15 3.00 3.30
Marathonbet 2.17 2.86 3.34
Pinnacle 2.24 2.92 3.45
William Hill 2.25 2.80 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.05
X 2.91 ▲ +0.02
2 3.32 ▼ -0.16

5 snapshots recorded, from .