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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants

1 – 0 Full time

37′Thandolwenkosi Methuseli Ngwenya
43′Edgar Manaka
45′Siphosakhe Ntiya-Ntiya
45′Langelihle MhlongoHendrick Ekstein
45′Liam bernOmega mdaka
55′Onke MoletsheKatlego Otladisa
67′Taariq Fielies
70′Thabiso KutumelaT. Dhludhlu
73′Mondli MbanjwaS. Zikhali
77′Edgar Manaka
81′Simo Bright MbheleSaketso Steven Moremi
85′Thandolwenkosi Methuseli NgwenyaTebogo Mashigo
85′A. MaqokolaNeo Mokoena
88′S. Zikhali

Princess Magogo Stadium, DurbanReferee: Luxolo Badi, South Africa

Amazulu 52%
Draw 28%
Marumo Gallants 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
58 Possession % 42
3 Corners 2
12 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2
1 Saves 2
454 Accurate passes 307

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmazuluDrawMarumo Gallants
Model62.6%22.4%15.0%
Market48.0%29.8%22.1%
Final51.7%28.0%20.4%
Edge+14.5%-7.4%-7.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Amazulu

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Amazulu below the model: +14.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Amazulu ↓ / Marumo Gallant → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Amazulu and Marumo Gallants expected goals

Amazulu 2.05
Marumo Gallants 0.92

Total expected goals: 2.96

Amazulu and Marumo Gallants attack and defence ratings

Amazulu

Attack 1.29 +29%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Marumo Gallants

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants: result vs prediction

Amazulu 1 – 0 Marumo Gallants

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Amazulu 51.7% 1.94 +14.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.9% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.6% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Amazulu win 39.4% 2.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Amazulu51.7%
Draw28.0%
Marumo Gallants20.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.9%
Under 2.543.1%
Both teams to scoreYes53.3%
No46.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.6%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)48.3%
Handicap -1Amazulu win39.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss37.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-010.8%
1-110.7%
2-19.9%

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants stats

Amazulu and Marumo Gallants recent form

newest first
Amazulu WLWDWW
Marumo Gallants DLLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Amazulu and Marumo Gallants going into this match

league record before kick-off

Amazulu record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Marumo Gallants record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Amazulu wins 3Draws 2Marumo Gallants wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-31Marumo GallantsAmazuluPremier Soccer League0-1
2025-08-20AmazuluMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League1-0
2025-02-15Marumo GallantsAmazuluCup1-0
2025-02-07AmazuluMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League2-0
2024-09-28Marumo GallantsAmazuluPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-01-21AmazuluMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League1-1
2022-10-26Marumo GallantsAmazuluPremier Soccer League0-0
2021-12-17Marumo GallantsAmazuluPremier Soccer League0-1
2021-11-04AmazuluMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League0-0
2021-03-21AmazuluMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Amazulu vs Marumo Gallants odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 29.8%, away 22.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.90 3.02 4.14
Bet365 1.85 2.90 4.20
BetVictor 1.90 3.10 4.10
Betano 1.95 3.10 4.05
Betfair 1.85 3.10 4.00
Marathonbet 1.88 3.02 4.05
Pinnacle 1.92 3.11 4.23
William Hill 1.91 3.00 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.90 ▼ -0.02
X 3.06 ▲ +0.06
2 4.12 ▲ +0.12

3 snapshots recorded, from .