Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 5

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City

2 – 2 Full time

3′T. Molokwane
17′M. Ndlovu
21′N. MaphanguleM. M. Batlhabane
25′B. Dlamini
27′Raymond Daniels
44′L. Nkaki
45′Mlungisi Sikakane
46′A. NgwenyaL. Mathebula
46′R. DanielsT. Nkwe
59′T. DhludhluK. Otladisa
59′J. MutudzaB. Mnguni
69′M. SeketsoM. Mpambaniso
69′M. NdlovuO. Moletshe
73′Surprise Manthosi
82′Polokwane CityG. Philander
85′Banele Mnguni
85′E. injiliT. Kutumela

Thohoyandou Stadium, ThohoyandouReferee: Thokozani Mkhize, South Africa

Marumo Gallants 34%
Draw 36%
Polokwane City 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
63 Possession % 37
5 Corners 2
9 Fouls 20
0 Offsides 3
1 Saves 3
341 Accurate passes 148

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMarumo GallantsDrawPolokwane City
Model32.2%34.6%33.2%
Market34.0%36.2%29.8%
Final33.5%35.8%30.7%
Edge-1.8%-1.6%+3.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Marumo Gallant ↓ / Polokwane City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 13% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 58%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Marumo Gallants and Polokwane City expected goals

Marumo Gallants 0.94
Polokwane City 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.89

Marumo Gallants and Polokwane City attack and defence ratings

Marumo Gallants

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Polokwane City

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City: result vs prediction

Marumo Gallants 2 – 2 Polokwane City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 35.8% 2.79 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.6% 1.42 — —
Both teams to score No 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.3% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.8% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Marumo Gallants33.5%
Draw35.8%
Polokwane City30.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.4%
Under 2.570.6%
Both teams to scoreYes38.8%
No61.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.3%
12 (either side)64.2%
X2 (draw or away)66.5%
Handicap -1Marumo Gallants win12.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss67.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.4%
1-114.8%
0-113.0%

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City stats

Marumo Gallants and Polokwane City recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Marumo Gallants and Polokwane City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Marumo Gallants record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Polokwane City record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Marumo Gallants wins 3Draws 1Polokwane City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16Polokwane CityMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League1-1
2025-08-31Marumo GallantsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League1-1
2025-02-23Marumo GallantsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League0-0
2024-12-15Polokwane CityMarumo GallantsPremier Soccer League1-0
2024-10-19Polokwane CityMarumo GallantsLeague Cup2-3
2019-01-23Polokwane CityMarumo GallantsCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Marumo Gallants vs Polokwane City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 34.0%, away 31.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.68 2.80 2.94
1xBet 2.60 2.61 2.92
Bet365 2.55 2.62 2.90
BetVictor 2.60 2.75 2.90
Betano 2.67 2.72 2.95
Betfair 2.55 2.75 2.80
Dafabet 2.65 2.70 2.95
Marathonbet 2.65 2.49 3.02
Pinnacle 2.79 2.49 3.14
SBO 2.46 2.56 2.68
Superbet 2.52 2.85 3.00
Unibet 2.65 2.85 2.70
William Hill 2.70 2.50 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.65 ▲ +0.21
X 2.49 ▼ -0.29
2 3.02 ▲ +0.04

7 snapshots recorded, from .