Kruger United
vs
Orlando Pirates
0 – 4 Full time
| 4′ | G. Lungu | ||
| 13′ | G. LunguO. Appollis | ||
| 54′ | B. Radiopane | ||
| 58′ | A. MphotheK. Ndlovu | ||
| 62′ | C. DansinS. Selepe | ||
| 62′ | B. RadiopaneY. Mbuthuma | ||
| 67′ | M. ZwaneM. Matima | ||
| 67′ | N. MakhubelaT. Sibanyoni | ||
| 79′ | Y. Mbuthuma | ||
| 81′ | M. NelW. Makhubu | ||
| 85′ | N. NdabaN. Rapoo | ||
| 85′ | T. MoremiM. Padime | ||
| 90′ | Y. Mbuthuma |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 325 | Accurate passes | 267 |
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates
| Probability | Kruger United | Draw | Orlando Pirates |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 4.8% | 17.2% | 78.1% |
| Market | 9.6% | 19.2% | 71.2% |
| Final | 8.4% | 18.7% | 72.9% |
| Edge | -4.8% | -2.1% | +6.9% |
Why Orlando Pirates
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Orlando Pirates below the model: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kruger United and Orlando Pirates expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.56
Kruger United and Orlando Pirates attack and defence ratings
Kruger United
Orlando Pirates
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates: result vs prediction
Kruger United 0 – 4 Orlando Pirates
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orlando Pirates | 72.9% | 1.37 | +6.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kruger United | 8.4% |
| Draw | 18.7% | |
| Orlando Pirates | 72.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.5% |
| No | 70.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 91.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orlando Pirates win | 53.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 21.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 18.1% |
| 0-1 | 16.1% | |
| 0-3 | 13.1% |
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates stats
Kruger United and Orlando Pirates recent form
| Kruger United |
LLDL |
| Orlando Pirates |
WWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kruger United vs Orlando Pirates odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 9.6%, draw 19.2%, away 71.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.25 | 4.70 | 1.32 |
| 1xBet | 10.70 | 4.85 | 1.25 |
| Bet365 | 10.00 | 4.33 | 1.27 |
| BetVictor | 11.00 | 5.00 | 1.25 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 4.55 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 4.75 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 9.20 | 4.80 | 1.31 |
| Marathonbet | 9.30 | 4.50 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 9.49 | 4.83 | 1.31 |
| Superbet | 9.70 | 5.00 | 1.27 |
| Unibet | 9.00 | 4.25 | 1.33 |
| William Hill | 10.00 | 4.80 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .