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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United

2 – 0 Full time

Orlando Amstel Arena, SowetoReferee: Philangenkosi Khumalo, South Africa

Orlando Pirates 72%
Draw 20%
Sekhukhune United 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrlando PiratesDrawSekhukhune United
Model78.6%16.1%5.3%
Market69.3%21.0%9.6%
Final71.7%19.8%8.6%
Edge+9.3%-5.0%-4.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Orlando Pirates

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.49.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Orlando Pirates below the model: +9.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orlando Pirate ↓ / Sekhukhune Uni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 13% 2 16% 3 13% 4+ 13%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Orlando Pirates and Sekhukhune United expected goals

Orlando Pirates 2.35
Sekhukhune United 0.49

Total expected goals: 2.84

Orlando Pirates and Sekhukhune United attack and defence ratings

Orlando Pirates

Attack 1.86 +86%
Defence 0.50 -50%

Sekhukhune United

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United: result vs prediction

Orlando Pirates 2 – 0 Sekhukhune United

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orlando Pirates 71.7% 1.40 +9.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score No 64.5% 1.55 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.4% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Orlando Pirates win 56.0% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orlando Pirates71.7%
Draw19.8%
Sekhukhune United8.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.0%
Under 2.546.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.5%
No64.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.4%
12 (either side)80.2%
X2 (draw or away)28.3%
Handicap -1Orlando Pirates win56.0%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss21.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-016.2%
1-013.1%
3-012.7%

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United stats

Orlando Pirates and Sekhukhune United recent form

newest first
Orlando Pirates WDWWDW
Sekhukhune United WLWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orlando Pirates and Sekhukhune United going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sekhukhune United record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Orlando Pirates wins 2Draws 3Sekhukhune United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22Sekhukhune UnitedOrlando Pirates8 Cup0-1
2026-01-24Sekhukhune UnitedOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League0-0
2025-08-09Orlando PiratesSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League0-1
2025-04-30Orlando PiratesSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League0-1
2025-02-05Sekhukhune UnitedOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League1-2
2024-03-30Sekhukhune UnitedOrlando PiratesPremier Soccer League2-1
2023-11-07Orlando PiratesSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-08-12Orlando PiratesSekhukhune United8 Cup5-0
2023-05-27Orlando PiratesSekhukhune UnitedCup2-1
2023-05-13Orlando PiratesSekhukhune UnitedPremier Soccer League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune United odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 69.3%, draw 21.0%, away 9.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.34 4.35 10.75
1xBet 1.30 4.30 10.30
Bet365 1.28 4.20 9.50
BetVictor 1.30 4.50 9.50
Betano 1.35 4.35 9.00
Betfair 1.30 4.40 9.50
Dafabet 1.33 4.50 9.40
Marathonbet 1.29 4.30 9.90
Pinnacle 1.32 4.53 10.19
SBO 1.31 4.00 7.72
Superbet 1.33 4.55 8.50
Unibet 1.35 4.20 8.50
William Hill 1.35 4.20 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.32 ▼ -0.13
X 4.35 ▲ +0.60
2 9.50 ▲ +2.30

4 snapshots recorded, from .