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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs

2 – 2 Full time

Umhlathuze Sports Stadium, Richards BayReferee: Cedrick Muvhali, South Africa

Richards Bay 22%
Draw 32%
Kaizer Chiefs 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRichards BayDrawKaizer Chiefs
Model20.0%33.1%46.9%
Market23.0%31.8%45.3%
Final22.2%32.1%45.7%
Edge-3.0%+1.3%+1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Kaizer Chiefs

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.19 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Richards Bay ↓ / Kaizer Chiefs → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 16% 17% 11% 1 9% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 84%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 16%

Richards Bay and Kaizer Chiefs expected goals

Richards Bay 0.69
Kaizer Chiefs 1.19

Total expected goals: 1.88

Richards Bay and Kaizer Chiefs attack and defence ratings

Richards Bay

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Kaizer Chiefs

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs: result vs prediction

Richards Bay 2 – 2 Kaizer Chiefs

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kaizer Chiefs 45.7% 2.19 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 70.9% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score No 64.1% 1.56 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.8% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Richards Bay22.2%
Draw32.1%
Kaizer Chiefs45.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.529.1%
Under 2.570.9%
Both teams to scoreYes35.9%
No64.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.3%
12 (either side)67.9%
X2 (draw or away)77.8%
Handicap -1Kaizer Chiefs win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-117.0%
0-016.5%
1-113.8%

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs stats

Richards Bay and Kaizer Chiefs recent form

newest first
Richards Bay DDLLDD
Kaizer Chiefs DWWLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Richards Bay and Kaizer Chiefs going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kaizer Chiefs record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

4Richards Bay wins 0Draws 5Kaizer Chiefs wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-03Richards BayKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League1-0
2025-08-19Kaizer ChiefsRichards BayPremier Soccer League1-0
2025-03-16Richards BayKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League2-0
2024-11-27Kaizer ChiefsRichards BayPremier Soccer League2-1
2024-04-21Richards BayKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-12-23Kaizer ChiefsRichards BayPremier Soccer League1-0
2023-03-04Richards BayKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League0-1
2022-08-20Kaizer ChiefsRichards BayPremier Soccer League1-0
2021-02-07Kaizer ChiefsRichards BayCup1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Richards Bay vs Kaizer Chiefs odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 23.0%, draw 31.8%, away 45.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.10 2.96 2.05
1xBet 4.08 2.82 2.00
Bet365 4.00 2.88 1.91
BetVictor 4.10 2.90 2.00
Betano 3.95 2.92 2.07
Betfair 3.80 2.90 2.00
Dafabet 4.00 2.90 2.06
Marathonbet 3.98 2.82 1.98
Pinnacle 4.18 2.87 2.04
SBO 3.49 2.72 2.02
Superbet 3.90 2.90 2.07
Unibet 3.95 2.85 2.02
William Hill 3.90 2.75 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.98 ▲ +0.06
X 2.88 —
2 2.02 ▼ -0.02

7 snapshots recorded, from .