Garuda Lions
Today
Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

5 – 2 Full time

Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane/PretoriaReferee: Sikhumbuzo Gasa, South Africa

Mamelodi Sundowns 65%
Draw 22%
Amazulu 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMamelodi SundownsDrawAmazulu
Model48.3%27.0%24.7%
Market70.2%20.0%9.8%
Final64.7%21.8%13.5%
Edge-21.8%+6.9%+14.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Mamelodi Sundowns

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mamelodi Sundo ↓ / Amazulu → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Mamelodi Sundowns and Amazulu expected goals

Mamelodi Sundowns 1.39
Amazulu 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.39

Mamelodi Sundowns and Amazulu attack and defence ratings

Mamelodi Sundowns

Attack 1.63 +63%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Amazulu

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu: result vs prediction

Mamelodi Sundowns 5 – 2 Amazulu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mamelodi Sundowns 64.7% 1.55 -21.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.2% 1.81 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mamelodi Sundowns64.7%
Draw21.8%
Amazulu13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.0%
No45.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)78.2%
X2 (draw or away)35.3%
Handicap -1Mamelodi Sundowns win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss55.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.9%
2-19.5%
1-09.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu stats

Mamelodi Sundowns and Amazulu recent form

newest first
Mamelodi Sundowns WDWDWL
Amazulu WDWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mamelodi Sundowns and Amazulu going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mamelodi Sundowns record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

Amazulu record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Mamelodi Sundowns wins 1Draws 1Amazulu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-24AmazuluMamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League0-1
2025-08-12Mamelodi SundownsAmazuluPremier Soccer League2-0
2025-03-11Mamelodi SundownsAmazuluPremier Soccer League2-0
2024-12-24AmazuluMamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League0-1
2024-02-27Mamelodi SundownsAmazuluPremier Soccer League3-0
2023-12-06AmazuluMamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League0-1
2023-05-03AmazuluMamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League2-2
2022-09-18Mamelodi SundownsAmazuluPremier Soccer League1-0
2021-12-20AmazuluMamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League1-0
2021-08-20Mamelodi SundownsAmazuluPremier Soccer League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Amazulu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.2%, draw 20.0%, away 9.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.32 4.50 10.75
1xBet 1.30 4.55 9.30
Bet365 1.33 4.20 8.00
BetVictor 1.30 4.60 9.50
Betano 1.33 4.40 10.00
Betfair 1.29 4.60 9.00
Dafabet 1.33 4.70 8.60
Marathonbet 1.28 4.55 8.90
Pinnacle 1.29 4.85 10.73
SBO 1.29 4.28 7.43
Superbet 1.32 4.85 8.10
Unibet 1.27 4.90 9.50
William Hill 1.33 4.40 10.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▼ -0.01
X 4.55 ▲ +0.15
2 9.30 ▲ +0.70

7 snapshots recorded, from .