Siwelele
vs
Chippa United
1 – 1 Full time
Siwelele vs Chippa United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Siwelele vs Chippa United
| Probability | Siwelele | Draw | Chippa United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.9% | 24.5% | 17.7% |
| Market | 49.3% | 29.0% | 21.7% |
| Final | 51.5% | 27.8% | 20.7% |
| Edge | +8.6% | -4.5% | -4.1% |
Why Siwelele
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.94.
- The market prices Siwelele below the model: +8.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Siwelele and Chippa United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.81
Siwelele and Chippa United attack and defence ratings
Siwelele
Chippa United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Siwelele vs Chippa United: result vs prediction
Siwelele 1 – 1 Chippa United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Siwelele vs Chippa United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 51.5% | 1.94 | +8.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 51.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Chippa United | 20.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Siwelele win | 34.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 42.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-0 | 10.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Siwelele vs Chippa United stats
Siwelele and Chippa United recent form
| Siwelele |
LLDDWL |
| Chippa United |
LDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Siwelele and Chippa United going into this match
Siwelele record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Chippa United record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Siwelele vs Chippa United head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | Chippa United | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Siwelele | Chippa United | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Siwelele vs Chippa United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.3%, draw 29.0%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 3.10 | 4.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.15 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.21 | 4.40 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 2.95 | 3.71 |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 3.15 | 4.20 |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .