Garuda Lions
Today
Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 4

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch

1 – 0 Full time

Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, DurbanReferee: Siyabulela Qunta, South Africa

Golden Arrows 36%
Draw 34%
Stellenbosch 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGolden ArrowsDrawStellenbosch
Model33.7%40.4%25.8%
Market36.5%32.0%31.5%
Final35.8%34.1%30.1%
Edge-2.8%+8.4%-5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Golden Arrows ↓ / Stellenbosch → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 26% 14% 1 18% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 74%
2+ goals 42%
3+ goals 17%
No goals 26%

Golden Arrows and Stellenbosch expected goals

Golden Arrows 0.77
Stellenbosch 0.64

Total expected goals: 1.41

Golden Arrows and Stellenbosch attack and defence ratings

Golden Arrows

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 0.59 -41%

Stellenbosch

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch: result vs prediction

Golden Arrows 1 – 0 Stellenbosch

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Golden Arrows 35.8% 2.79 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 83.2% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score No 73.5% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.3% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Golden Arrows35.8%
Draw34.1%
Stellenbosch30.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.516.8%
Under 2.583.2%
Both teams to scoreYes26.5%
No73.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.9%
12 (either side)65.9%
X2 (draw or away)64.2%
Handicap -1Golden Arrows win11.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss66.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-025.7%
1-017.6%
0-114.4%

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch stats

Golden Arrows and Stellenbosch recent form

newest first
Golden Arrows DDDDWD
Stellenbosch WDLDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Golden Arrows and Stellenbosch going into this match

league record before kick-off

Stellenbosch record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Golden Arrows wins 3Draws 5Stellenbosch wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Golden ArrowsStellenboschPremier Soccer League1-1
2026-02-21Golden ArrowsStellenboschCup1-0
2025-10-22StellenboschGolden ArrowsPremier Soccer League4-3
2025-05-03Golden ArrowsStellenboschPremier Soccer League0-3
2024-09-18StellenboschGolden ArrowsPremier Soccer League0-2
2024-05-01StellenboschGolden ArrowsPremier Soccer League3-0
2023-09-16Golden ArrowsStellenboschPremier Soccer League0-0
2023-04-29StellenboschGolden ArrowsPremier Soccer League5-2
2022-10-14Golden ArrowsStellenboschPremier Soccer League1-1
2022-04-06Golden ArrowsStellenboschPremier Soccer League0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Golden Arrows vs Stellenbosch odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 32.0%, away 31.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.58 3.00 2.88
1xBet 2.51 2.75 2.97
Bet365 2.38 2.90 2.88
BetVictor 2.45 3.00 2.88
Betano 2.60 2.87 2.90
Betfair 2.40 2.90 2.80
Dafabet 2.60 2.85 2.90
Marathonbet 2.49 2.75 2.90
Pinnacle 2.57 2.75 3.01
SBO 2.42 2.77 2.66
Superbet 2.60 2.82 2.92
Unibet 2.33 2.95 3.00
William Hill 2.50 2.80 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▲ +0.07
X 2.85 ▼ -0.10
2 2.90 ▼ -0.05

7 snapshots recorded, from .