Golden Arrows
vs
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 – 2 Full time
| 14′ | S. Ndlovu | ||
| 46′ | G. KekanaM. Khoza | ||
| 63′ | R. Van NeelS. Sithole | ||
| 63′ | N. GasaP. Kumalo | ||
| 66′ | F. BasadienA. Modiba | ||
| 67′ | C. MailulaS. Mkhulise | ||
| 67′ | T. MatthewsA. van Wyk | ||
| 76′ | J. Dion | ||
| 77′ | B. LeonI. Rayners | ||
| 88′ | T. Mokoena | ||
| 89′ | J. DionT. Khumalo | ||
| 90′ | Angelo Van Rooi | ||
| 90′ | Iqraam Rayners | ||
| 90′ | N. DlaminiA. Van Rooi |
Match stats
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 11 | Corners | 1 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 306 | Accurate passes | 482 |
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns
| Probability | Golden Arrows | Draw | Mamelodi Sundowns |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| Market | 10.9% | 23.0% | 66.1% |
| Final | 15.3% | 26.0% | 58.8% |
| Edge | +17.5% | +11.9% | -29.4% |
Why Mamelodi Sundowns
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Golden Arrows and Mamelodi Sundowns expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.70
Golden Arrows and Mamelodi Sundowns attack and defence ratings
Golden Arrows
Mamelodi Sundowns
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns: result vs prediction
Golden Arrows 1 – 2 Mamelodi Sundowns
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 58.8% | 1.70 | -29.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Golden Arrows | 15.3% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 58.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.5% |
| No | 62.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 41.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 64.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns stats
Golden Arrows and Mamelodi Sundowns recent form
| Golden Arrows |
WDDDDW |
| Mamelodi Sundowns |
WWWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Golden Arrows and Mamelodi Sundowns going into this match
Mamelodi Sundowns record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Golden Arrows | Mamelodi Sundowns | 8 Cup | 2-3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | 8 Cup | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-24 | Golden Arrows | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-05 | Golden Arrows | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-02 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | League Cup | 5-0 |
| 2024-05-08 | Golden Arrows | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-15 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Golden Arrows | Premier Soccer League | 4-0 |
| 2023-04-12 | Golden Arrows | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Golden Arrows vs Mamelodi Sundowns odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.9%, draw 23.0%, away 66.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.70 | 3.92 | 1.37 |
| Bet365 | 8.00 | 3.90 | 1.36 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 4.10 | 1.36 |
| Marathonbet | 8.30 | 3.92 | 1.36 |
| Pinnacle | 8.30 | 4.18 | 1.40 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 3.80 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .