Mamelodi Sundowns
vs
Siwelele
3 – 0 Full time
| 26′ | Khulumani Ndamane | ||
| 46′ | K. NdamaneM. Mvala | ||
| 46′ | N. MokhachaneS. Jeza | ||
| 58′ | K. Lethlaku | ||
| 60′ | R. MokhuoaneT. R. Letshedi | ||
| 60′ | C. SaileH. Issah | ||
| 62′ | S. MkhuliseM. Allende | ||
| 62′ | K. LethlakuS. Ndlovu | ||
| 66′ | A. van WykT. Matthews | ||
| 69′ | Thato Letshedi | ||
| 72′ | M. PuleT. Potsane | ||
| 72′ | S. KobediM. Mazibuko | ||
| 79′ | S. Ndlovu | ||
| 80′ | C. MailulaT. Zwane | ||
| 90′ | T. Matthews |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 6 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 72 | Possession % | 28 |
| 10 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 4 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 0 | Saves | 6 |
| 678 | Accurate passes | 225 |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele
| Probability | Mamelodi Sundowns | Draw | Siwelele |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80.1% | 11.9% | 8.0% |
| Market | 74.4% | 18.0% | 7.6% |
| Final | 75.8% | 16.5% | 7.7% |
| Edge | +5.7% | -6.1% | +0.4% |
Why Mamelodi Sundowns
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.24 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Mamelodi Sundowns below the model: +5.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.34
Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele attack and defence ratings
Mamelodi Sundowns
Siwelele
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele: result vs prediction
Mamelodi Sundowns 3 – 0 Siwelele
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 75.8% | 1.32 | +5.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 75.8% |
| Draw | 16.5% | |
| Siwelele | 7.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 83.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 16.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.4% |
| No | 33.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 92.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mamelodi Sundowns win | 60.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.4% | |
| Loss | 21.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-1 | 7.9% |
| 3-0 | 6.9% | |
| 2-1 | 6.9% |
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele stats
Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele recent form
| Mamelodi Sundowns |
WWWWDW |
| Siwelele |
LDLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele going into this match
Mamelodi Sundowns record
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Siwelele record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League | 7-4 |
| 2025-12-03 | Siwelele | Mamelodi Sundowns | Premier Soccer League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 18.0%, away 7.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.24 | 5.25 | 13.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 5.10 | 12.90 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 5.50 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.24 | 5.30 | 11.50 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.23 | 5.60 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.21 | 5.05 | 11.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.24 | 5.33 | 11.99 |
| SBO | 1.20 | 4.94 | 9.26 |
| Superbet | 1.23 | 5.55 | 10.00 |
| Unibet | 1.27 | 4.80 | 10.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 5.00 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .