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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Milford FC vs Durban City

1 – 1 Full time

38′M Zikakayo
45′Samkelo MasekoL. Sifumba
45′Junior PapierJean Lwamba
47′C. Mthethwa
50′L. Sifumba
58′Gastón Sirino
65′J Gxakoshe
66′Bandile ShanduFezile·Gcaba
66′L. KoapengTashreeq Morris
74′Gastón SirinoThabo Nodada
79′Siphosethu NdlabiSicelo Masilela
79′Yanelisa NomandelaSikhusele Joyi
79′Tonny Likhona MbungaKonke Khwanya
88′J GxakosheAdmiro Chabanhu
88′M ZikakayoPhakamani Jwara

Richards Bay Stadium (Umhlathuze), Richards BayReferee: Luxolo Badi

Milford FC 38%
Draw 33%
Durban City 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
53 Possession % 47
4 Corners 6
10 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 4
2 Saves 4
373 Accurate passes 307

Milford FC vs Durban City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Milford FC vs Durban City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMilford FCDrawDurban City
Model50.7%34.5%14.8%
Market34.2%32.4%33.4%
Final38.3%33.0%28.7%
Edge+16.6%+2.1%-18.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Milford FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.60.
  • The market prices Milford FC below the model: +16.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Milford FC ↓ / Durban City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 1 19% 13% 2 11% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 52%
3+ goals 24%
No goals 20%

Milford FC and Durban City expected goals

Milford FC 1.10
Durban City 0.60

Total expected goals: 1.70

Milford FC and Durban City attack and defence ratings

Milford FC

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Durban City

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Milford FC vs Durban City: result vs prediction

Milford FC 1 – 1 Durban City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Milford FC vs Durban City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Milford FC 38.3% 2.61 +16.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.9% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 72.8% 1.37 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.5% 1.87 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Milford FC38.3%
Draw33.0%
Durban City28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.1%
Under 2.577.9%
Both teams to scoreYes27.2%
No72.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)67.0%
X2 (draw or away)61.7%
Handicap -1Milford FC win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)26.3%
Loss53.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-021.3%
0-020.9%
2-012.7%

Milford FC vs Durban City stats

Milford FC and Durban City recent form

newest first
Milford FC WDLDWW
Durban City LWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Milford FC and Durban City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Milford FC record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Durban City record

  • They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Milford FC vs Durban City head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Milford FC wins 0Draws 1Durban City wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-05-07Durban CityMilford FC1st Division1-2
2024-12-14Milford FCDurban City1st Division1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Milford FC vs Durban City odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 32.4%, away 33.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.64 2.72 2.69
Bet365 2.60 2.80 2.70
BetVictor 2.63 2.88 2.70
Betano 2.77 2.77 2.80
Betfair 2.63 2.80 2.70
Marathonbet 2.64 2.72 2.69
Pinnacle 2.77 2.79 2.79
William Hill 2.75 2.62 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.64 ▲ +0.34
X 2.78 ▼ -0.07
2 2.70 ▼ -0.45

7 snapshots recorded, from .