Kaizer Chiefs
vs
Siwelele
3 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Inacio Miguel | ||
| 30′ | M. Vilakazi | ||
| 49′ | Brandon Petersen | ||
| 64′ | B. ThuloN. Mokhachane | ||
| 64′ | M. PuleS. Rasebotja | ||
| 64′ | S. JezaT. Potsane | ||
| 65′ | W. Duba | ||
| 68′ | A. Baliti | ||
| 69′ | M. ShabalalaS. Mthethwa | ||
| 69′ | M. VilakaziL. Baartman | ||
| 69′ | S. NdlovuF. Abrahams | ||
| 76′ | S. KobediM. Mazibuko | ||
| 76′ | S. Xulu | ||
| 84′ | D. SolomonsR. Frosler | ||
| 84′ | W. DubaE. Chislett | ||
| 90′ | H. IssahM. N'Guessan | ||
| 90′ | M. N'Guessan |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 473 | Accurate passes | 345 |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele
| Probability | Kaizer Chiefs | Draw | Siwelele |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.4% | 21.4% | 13.1% |
| Market | 57.0% | 27.9% | 15.1% |
| Final | 59.1% | 26.3% | 14.6% |
| Edge | +8.5% | -6.4% | -2.0% |
Why Kaizer Chiefs
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Kaizer Chiefs below the model: +8.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kaizer Chiefs and Siwelele expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Kaizer Chiefs and Siwelele attack and defence ratings
Kaizer Chiefs
Siwelele
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele: result vs prediction
Kaizer Chiefs 3 – 2 Siwelele
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 59.1% | 1.69 | +8.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kaizer Chiefs win | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 59.1% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Siwelele | 14.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kaizer Chiefs win | 42.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 34.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.0% |
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele stats
Kaizer Chiefs and Siwelele recent form
| Kaizer Chiefs |
DDWWLW |
| Siwelele |
DLLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kaizer Chiefs and Siwelele going into this match
Kaizer Chiefs record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Siwelele record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Siwelele | Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League | 2-0 |
| 2025-10-22 | Kaizer Chiefs | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kaizer Chiefs vs Siwelele odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 27.9%, away 15.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 3.26 | 6.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.25 | 6.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.26 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62 | 3.41 | 6.02 |
| William Hill | 1.65 | 3.10 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .