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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs

1 – 1 Full time

29′Lebohang Maboe
45′Surprise Semangele Manthosi
45′Keorapetse SeboneG. Philander
53′Ndamulelo Rodney MaphanguleBanele Mnguni
63′Banele Mnguni
67′Inacio Miguel Ferreira SantosZitha Macheke
67′Siphesihle NdlovuAdolf Bitegeko
72′P. Mmodi
73′Brandon Petersen
77′E. IghodaroLuke baartman
77′Reeve FroslerD. Solomons
82′mfundo vilakaziFaiz Abrahams

Old Peter Mokaba Stadium, PolokwaneReferee: Xola Sitela, South Africa

Polokwane City 23%
Draw 30%
Kaizer Chiefs 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 5
42 Possession % 58
5 Corners 4
13 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 0
4 Saves 3
231 Accurate passes 374

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPolokwane CityDrawKaizer Chiefs
Model23.9%28.0%48.1%
Market22.9%31.2%45.9%
Final23.1%30.4%46.4%
Edge+1.0%-3.2%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Kaizer Chiefs

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.02.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kaizer Chiefs below the model: +2.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Polokwane City ↓ / Kaizer Chiefs → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 11% 9% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs expected goals

Polokwane City 1.02
Kaizer Chiefs 1.54

Total expected goals: 2.56

Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs attack and defence ratings

Polokwane City

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Kaizer Chiefs

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs: result vs prediction

Polokwane City 1 – 1 Kaizer Chiefs

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Premier Soccer League

Before and after this match

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kaizer Chiefs 46.4% 2.15 +2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.4% 1.95 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.9% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.9% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Polokwane City23.1%
Draw30.4%
Kaizer Chiefs46.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.1%
Under 2.552.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.4%
No48.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.6%
12 (either side)69.6%
X2 (draw or away)76.9%
Handicap -1Kaizer Chiefs win25.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss51.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
0-110.7%
1-29.3%

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs stats

Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs recent form

newest first
Polokwane City DDLDWD
Kaizer Chiefs WDDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Polokwane City and Kaizer Chiefs going into this match

league record before kick-off

Polokwane City record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Kaizer Chiefs record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Polokwane City wins 4Draws 3Kaizer Chiefs wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-18Polokwane CityKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League0-0
2025-08-13Kaizer ChiefsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League1-0
2025-05-24Kaizer ChiefsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League0-0
2024-12-08Polokwane CityKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League2-0
2024-05-18Kaizer ChiefsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League0-0
2023-12-09Polokwane CityKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League0-1
2020-08-15Polokwane CityKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League2-3
2019-09-14Kaizer ChiefsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League0-1
2019-02-23Polokwane CityKaizer ChiefsPremier Soccer League1-1
2018-10-06Kaizer ChiefsPolokwane CityPremier Soccer League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Polokwane City vs Kaizer Chiefs odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 22.9%, draw 31.2%, away 45.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.97 2.90 1.99
Bet365 4.20 2.88 1.91
BetVictor 3.90 3.00 2.00
Betano 4.25 2.95 1.98
Betfair 4.00 3.00 1.91
Marathonbet 3.88 2.90 1.97
Pinnacle 4.02 2.93 2.05
William Hill 3.90 2.80 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.99 ▼ -0.10
X 2.92 —
2 1.98 ▲ +0.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .