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Premier Soccer League · Full time ·Matchday 10

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC

2 – 0 Full time

45′I. Rayners
46′B. J. AubaasT. Mokoena
55′Malibongwe Khoza
56′Zuko Mdunyelwa
59′Z. MdunyelwaT. Morena
59′B. MokoenaC. Mailula
62′T. MabenaM. Zikakayo
62′T. MbungaS. Masilela
66′B. SigomosheK. Radebe
67′Khanyisani Radebe
68′T. MatthewsS. Ndlovu
76′A. van Wyk
77′Y. NomandelaK. Khwanya
80′Cebolenkosi Mthethwa
82′I. RaynersT. Zwane
90′Grant Kekana

Loftus Versfeld Stadium, Tshwane/PretoriaReferee: Moses Mbhabeleli Kheswa, South Africa

Mamelodi Sundowns 72%
Draw 18%
Milford FC 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

11 Shots 9
6 Shots on target 6
61 Possession % 39
1 Corners 4
11 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 6
6 Saves 3
526 Accurate passes 309

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMamelodi SundownsDrawMilford FC
Model59.2%24.3%16.5%
Market76.8%16.2%7.1%
Final72.4%18.2%9.4%
Edge-17.5%+8.1%+9.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Mamelodi Sundowns

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mamelodi Sundo ↓ / Milford FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Mamelodi Sundowns and Milford FC expected goals

Mamelodi Sundowns 1.67
Milford FC 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.50

Mamelodi Sundowns and Milford FC attack and defence ratings

Mamelodi Sundowns

Attack 1.92 +92%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Milford FC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC: result vs prediction

Mamelodi Sundowns 2 – 0 Milford FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Mamelodi Sundowns 72.4% 1.38 -17.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.2% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.1% 1.96 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 90.6% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.9% 2.28 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mamelodi Sundowns72.4%
Draw18.2%
Milford FC9.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.2%
Under 2.547.8%
Both teams to scoreYes51.1%
No48.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)90.6%
12 (either side)81.8%
X2 (draw or away)27.6%
Handicap -1Mamelodi Sundowns win31.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.5%
Loss43.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-011.0%
1-010.7%

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC stats

Mamelodi Sundowns and Milford FC recent form

newest first
Mamelodi Sundowns WWDWDW
Milford FC DWWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mamelodi Sundowns and Milford FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Mamelodi Sundowns record

  • They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

Milford FC record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Mamelodi Sundowns vs Milford FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 76.8%, draw 16.2%, away 7.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.20 5.70 15.50
1xBet 1.18 5.55 13.60
Bet365 1.25 5.00 12.00
BetVictor 1.18 5.75 13.00
Betano 1.22 5.70 11.50
Betfair 1.15 6.00 13.00
Dafabet 1.21 6.00 12.00
Marathonbet 1.18 5.45 12.25
Pinnacle 1.19 6.17 13.69
SBO 1.18 5.32 9.26
Superbet 1.20 6.10 11.00
Unibet 1.20 6.40 13.00
William Hill 1.22 5.50 13.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.20 —
X 5.70 ▼ -0.05
2 13.00 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .