Siwelele
vs
Polokwane City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Siwelele
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Siwelele vs Polokwane City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Siwelele vs Polokwane City
| Probability | Siwelele | Draw | Polokwane City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.3% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.3% | 29.3% | 32.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Siwelele vs Polokwane City match preview
Siwelele faces Polokwane City in the Premier Soccer League with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Siwelele has a 38% probability of winning, while Polokwane City stands at 32%, and a draw is estimated at 29%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Siwelele, with an expected goals tally of 1.33 for Siwelele and 1.20 for Polokwane City.
In terms of recent form, Siwelele has struggled, recording three losses and two draws in their last five matches. Polokwane City has also faced challenges, with one loss and four draws in their recent outings. The head-to-head record shows that Siwelele has not secured a win against Polokwane City in their last two encounters, with one draw and one victory for Polokwane City.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Siwelele and Polokwane City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Siwelele and Polokwane City attack and defence ratings
Siwelele
Polokwane City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Siwelele vs Polokwane City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Siwelele | 38.3% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Polokwane City | 32.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Siwelele win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-0 | 9.2% |
Siwelele vs Polokwane City stats
Siwelele and Polokwane City recent form
| Siwelele |
DLLDLL |
| Polokwane City |
LDDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Siwelele and Polokwane City season so far
Siwelele record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Polokwane City record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Siwelele vs Polokwane City head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Polokwane City | Siwelele | Premier Soccer League | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Siwelele | Polokwane City | Premier Soccer League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.