Club Africain
vs
TP Mazembe
1 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Taddeus Nkeng |
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Africain vs TP Mazembe
| Probability | Club Africain | Draw | TP Mazembe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.6% | 31.9% | 18.5% |
| Market | 57.2% | 26.4% | 16.4% |
| Final | 55.3% | 27.8% | 16.9% |
| Edge | -1.9% | +1.4% | +0.5% |
Why Club Africain
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Africain and TP Mazembe expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Club Africain and TP Mazembe attack and defence ratings
Club Africain
TP Mazembe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe: result vs prediction
Club Africain 1 – 0 TP Mazembe
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Africain | 55.3% | 1.81 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Africain | 55.3% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| TP Mazembe | 16.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.4% |
| No | 63.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Africain win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.0% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.0% |
| 0-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.5% |
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe stats
Club Africain and TP Mazembe recent form
| Club Africain |
DLWDWW |
| TP Mazembe |
DWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | TP Mazembe | Club Africain | CAF Champions League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Africain vs TP Mazembe odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.2%, draw 26.4%, away 16.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 3.48 | 5.54 |
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.25 | 6.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.35 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.54 | 3.48 | 5.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 3.36 | 4.89 |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .