Kawkab Marrakech
vs
Difaa EL Jadida
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawkab Marrakech
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.43.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida
| Probability | Kawkab Marrakech | Draw | Difaa EL Jadida |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.6% | 24.9% | 29.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kawkab Marrakech
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.43.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida match preview
Kawkab Marrakech hosts Difaa EL Jadida in a Botola Pro matchup with Kawkab Marrakech holding a 46% probability of victory according to our model. The expected goals for Kawkab Marrakech stand at 1.81, while Difaa EL Jadida is projected to score 1.43. Recent form shows Kawkab Marrakech with three wins in their last five matches, while Difaa EL Jadida has struggled, recording two wins and three losses.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1 in favor of Kawkab Marrakech, with a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, Kawkab Marrakech and Difaa EL Jadida have not secured a win against each other, with both matches ending in draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kawkab Marrakech and Difaa EL Jadida expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.23
Kawkab Marrakech and Difaa EL Jadida attack and defence ratings
Kawkab Marrakech
Difaa EL Jadida
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 45.6% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Difaa EL Jadida | 29.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.5% |
| No | 35.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawkab Marrakech win | 25.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida stats
Kawkab Marrakech and Difaa EL Jadida recent form
| Kawkab Marrakech |
WWWLDD |
| Difaa EL Jadida |
WWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Difaa EL Jadida | Kawkab Marrakech | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kawkab Marrakech | Difaa EL Jadida | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.