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Botola Pro · Full time ·Matchday 4

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan

4 – 1 Full time

13′Abderrazak Ennakouss
45′Abderrazak Ennakouss
45′Mohamed kassou
50′reda chgraoui ech
53′A moulhami
58′Issam Bouabsidi
58′reda chgraoui echzakaria oubraim
65′Ibra Lo
68′Achraf marzakYassine Aboursas
69′Anouar oussarhanAyman Azzouzi
71′Ibra LoAbdellah Farah
71′Mouad mouchtanimAnass Mostakime
76′Anass Mostakime
77′Anass Mostakime
80′Issam BouabsidiAymane Zerri
83′Hicham ZeghariYassine Karraz
83′Nadir El FadiliYassin Crachna
86′Youssef MichteYassine Lhjale
87′Megueachraf idrissi
88′Abdellah Farah
89′Abdellah Farah

Stade El Abdi, El JadidaReferee: A. Charhabil

Difaa EL Jadida 51%
Draw 25%
Moghreb Tetouan 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 1
49 Possession % 51
5 Corners 2

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDifaa EL JadidaDrawMoghreb Tetouan
Model37.7%25.7%36.5%
Market55.0%24.4%20.6%
Final50.7%24.8%24.6%
Edge-4.3%+0.3%+4.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Difaa EL Jadid ↓ / Moghreb Tetoua → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan expected goals

Difaa EL Jadida 1.60
Moghreb Tetouan 1.56

Total expected goals: 3.16

Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan attack and defence ratings

Difaa EL Jadida

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 1.67 +67%

Moghreb Tetouan

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan: result vs prediction

Difaa EL Jadida 4 – 1 Moghreb Tetouan

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Difaa EL Jadida 50.7% 1.97 -4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.0% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.0% 1.56 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.2% 1.61 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Difaa EL Jadida50.7%
Draw24.8%
Moghreb Tetouan24.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.0%
Under 2.539.0%
Both teams to scoreYes64.0%
No36.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.4%
12 (either side)75.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.3%
Handicap -1Difaa EL Jadida win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss62.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-18.4%
1-28.3%

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan stats

Difaa EL Jadida and Moghreb Tetouan recent form

newest first
Difaa EL Jadida WLLLDD
Moghreb Tetouan DDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Difaa EL Jadida wins 5Draws 1Moghreb Tetouan wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-22Moghreb TetouanDifaa EL JadidaBotola Pro1-3
2024-10-22Difaa EL JadidaMoghreb TetouanBotola Pro1-0
2023-04-03Difaa EL JadidaMoghreb TetouanBotola Pro0-0
2022-10-15Moghreb TetouanDifaa EL JadidaBotola Pro1-1
2021-05-18Difaa EL JadidaMoghreb TetouanBotola Pro2-2
2020-12-13Moghreb TetouanDifaa EL JadidaBotola Pro2-2
2020-08-27Difaa EL JadidaMoghreb TetouanBotola Pro2-0
2019-12-21Moghreb TetouanDifaa EL JadidaBotola Pro2-1
2019-04-27Difaa EL JadidaMoghreb TetouanBotola Pro2-0
2018-12-10Moghreb TetouanDifaa EL JadidaBotola Pro0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.0%, draw 24.4%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.64 3.69 4.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.64 —
X 3.69 —
2 4.38 —

6 snapshots recorded, from .