Botola Pro · ·Matchday 4

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech

Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawkab Marrakech

0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability

Stade Olympique de Rabat, Rabat

Widad Témara 32%
Draw 33%
Kawkab Marrakech 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Kawkab Marrakech wins
35%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
12% of simulated outcomes

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWidad TémaraDrawKawkab Marrakech
Model32.3%33.0%34.6%
Market———
Final32.3%33.0%34.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Kawkab Marrakech

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech match preview

Widad Témara faces Kawkab Marrakech in a closely matched Botola Pro encounter. According to our model, Widad Témara has a 32% chance of winning, while Kawkab Marrakech is slightly favored at 35%, with a 33% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 12% likelihood. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Widad Témara recording two losses followed by a win, while Kawkab Marrakech has two wins, a loss, and three draws in their last six matches.

In terms of expected goals, Widad Témara is projected to score 1.01, while Kawkab Marrakech is slightly ahead at 1.05. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34%, and there is a 43% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this fixture is rated as C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Widad Témara ↓ / Kawkab Marrake → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech expected goals

Widad Témara 1.01
Kawkab Marrakech 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.05

Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech attack and defence ratings

Widad Témara

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Kawkab Marrakech

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

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Before and after this match

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kawkab Marrakech 34.6% 2.89 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.2% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 57.5% 1.74 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 67.7% 1.48 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.4% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Widad Témara32.3%
Draw33.0%
Kawkab Marrakech34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.8%
Under 2.566.2%
Both teams to scoreYes42.5%
No57.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)67.0%
X2 (draw or away)67.7%
Handicap -1Kawkab Marrakech win14.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.5%
Loss65.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.9%
0-014.2%
0-112.1%

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech stats

Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Kawkab Marrakech Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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