Widad Témara
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kawkab Marrakech
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech
| Probability | Widad Témara | Draw | Kawkab Marrakech |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 33.0% | 34.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.3% | 33.0% | 34.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kawkab Marrakech
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech match preview
Widad Témara faces Kawkab Marrakech in a closely matched Botola Pro encounter. According to our model, Widad Témara has a 32% chance of winning, while Kawkab Marrakech is slightly favored at 35%, with a 33% probability for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 12% likelihood. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Widad Témara recording two losses followed by a win, while Kawkab Marrakech has two wins, a loss, and three draws in their last six matches.
In terms of expected goals, Widad Témara is projected to score 1.01, while Kawkab Marrakech is slightly ahead at 1.05. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 34%, and there is a 43% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this fixture is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech attack and defence ratings
Widad Témara
Kawkab Marrakech
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat — team news & stats
- Renaissance Berkane v CR Khemis Zemamra — match page
- FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca — team news & stats
- Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès
- CODM Meknès v UTS Rabat — match page
- Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan — team news & stats
- Wydad AC v Amal Tiznit — match page
Before and after this match
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kawkab Marrakech | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widad Témara | 32.3% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Kawkab Marrakech | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.5% |
| No | 57.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kawkab Marrakech win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 65.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.9% |
| 0-0 | 14.2% | |
| 0-1 | 12.1% |
Widad Témara vs Kawkab Marrakech stats
Widad Témara and Kawkab Marrakech recent form
| Widad Témara | LLW |
| WWLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.