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Botola Pro · Full time ·Matchday 4

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès

2 – 1 Full time

2′Khalid Baba
25′Younes NajariHamza El Moudene
32′Christopher Ibayi
45′Hamza El Moudene
53′mohamed saoud
61′Christopher IbayiTshegofatso Mabaso
70′Gape Mohutsiwa
70′Mohamed El ArouchHaytham Bakhlakh
74′mohamed saoud
75′Abdel Maali
77′Hamza El Moudene
77′devin titusHamza allah ait
78′Achraf Harmach
84′mohamed saoudSaad Ait Khorsa
85′Soufyan AhannachAkram El Wahabi
85′Abdel MaaliEnnaama El Bellali
88′Mohamed JaouabNarcisse ouedraogo

Grand Stade de Tanger, TangierReferee: H. El Fariq

Ittihad Tanger 29%
Draw 33%
Maghreb Fès 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
42 Possession % 58
1 Corners 6

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIttihad TangerDrawMaghreb Fès
Model24.2%32.7%43.1%
Market30.0%33.3%36.6%
Final28.6%33.2%38.3%
Edge-1.5%-0.1%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Maghreb Fès

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.82.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ittihad Tanger ↓ / Maghreb Fès → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 15% 9% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès expected goals

Ittihad Tanger 0.82
Maghreb Fès 1.18

Total expected goals: 2.00

Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès attack and defence ratings

Ittihad Tanger

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Maghreb Fès

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès: result vs prediction

Ittihad Tanger 2 – 1 Maghreb Fès

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Maghreb Fès 38.3% 2.61 +1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.6% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.4% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.9% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ittihad Tanger28.6%
Draw33.2%
Maghreb Fès38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.4%
Under 2.567.6%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)66.8%
X2 (draw or away)71.4%
Handicap -1Maghreb Fès win19.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss56.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-014.8%
0-114.7%
1-114.4%

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès stats

Ittihad Tanger and Maghreb Fès recent form

newest first
Ittihad Tanger LDWWLD
Maghreb Fès DWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Ittihad Tanger wins 5Draws 2Maghreb Fès wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-22Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerBotola Pro0-1
2025-10-25Ittihad TangerMaghreb FèsBotola Pro1-1
2025-03-08Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerBotola Pro1-1
2024-11-03Ittihad TangerMaghreb FèsBotola Pro1-1
2024-03-27Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerCup2-2
2024-03-09Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerBotola Pro2-1
2023-11-05Ittihad TangerMaghreb FèsBotola Pro2-2
2023-04-07Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerBotola Pro0-1
2023-02-10Maghreb FèsIttihad TangerCup0-2
2022-10-28Ittihad TangerMaghreb FèsBotola Pro2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.3%, draw 33.6%, away 37.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.92 2.59 2.15
Bet365 2.80 2.75 2.50
BetVictor 3.50 2.90 2.15
Betano 3.00 2.77 2.52
Betfair 3.00 2.70 2.50
Dafabet 3.05 2.80 2.55
Marathonbet 3.20 2.53 2.44
Pinnacle 3.40 2.41 2.61
SBO 3.06 2.80 2.14
William Hill 3.30 2.70 2.15

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.05 ▼ -0.88
X 2.75 ▲ +0.02
2 2.50 ▲ +0.38

3 snapshots recorded, from .