Botola Pro · Full time ·Matchday 4

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

1 – 1 Full time

20′Adel Bettaieb
45′Issam Naji
46′Adel Bettaiebyouness dahmani
61′ishak zidaniMohamed Abu Zraiq
68′Issam NajiMohamed Bakhkhach
69′Mohamed Bakhkhach
70′Younes Bakizazzeddine laftah
70′Felipinhomohamed makaazi
79′Deo BassingaIsmail Moutaraji
79′Mathias OyewusiMounaim El Idrissy
85′Amine Souanehamza bouhadi

Stade Moulay El Hassan, RabatReferee: S. Boujidi

FUS Rabat 27%
Draw 34%
Raja Casablanca 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 1
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 3

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFUS RabatDrawRaja Casablanca
Model17.0%35.2%47.8%
Market29.8%33.1%37.1%
Final26.6%33.7%39.8%
Edge-3.2%+0.5%+2.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Raja Casablanca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.54.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Raja Casablanca below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FUS Rabat ↓ / Raja Casablanc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 20% 12% 1 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca expected goals

FUS Rabat 0.54
Raja Casablanca 1.09

Total expected goals: 1.63

FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca attack and defence ratings

FUS Rabat

Attack 0.65 -35%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Raja Casablanca

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.73 -27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca: result vs prediction

FUS Rabat 1 – 1 Raja Casablanca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raja Casablanca 39.8% 2.51 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.5% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score No 71.1% 1.41 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.92 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FUS Rabat26.6%
Draw33.7%
Raja Casablanca39.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.5%
Under 2.577.5%
Both teams to scoreYes28.9%
No71.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.2%
12 (either side)66.3%
X2 (draw or away)73.4%
Handicap -1Raja Casablanca win20.6%
Push (exactly one goal)27.1%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.7%
0-120.2%
1-112.7%

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca stats

FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca recent form

newest first
FUS Rabat DLLLDW
Raja Casablanca DWWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2FUS Rabat wins 1Draws 7Raja Casablanca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-26Raja CasablancaFUS RabatBotola Pro4-1
2025-09-13FUS RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro0-2
2025-01-26FUS RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro2-1
2024-10-02Raja CasablancaFUS RabatBotola Pro1-0
2024-03-10FUS RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro0-1
2023-11-06Raja CasablancaFUS RabatBotola Pro2-0
2023-04-08FUS RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro3-0
2022-10-29Raja CasablancaFUS RabatBotola Pro1-0
2022-04-27FUS RabatRaja CasablancaBotola Pro0-1
2021-10-26Raja CasablancaFUS RabatBotola Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 33.1%, away 37.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.07 2.79 2.37
Bet365 3.20 2.38 2.62
BetVictor 3.00 2.75 2.50
Betano 3.15 2.65 2.52
Betfair 3.00 2.80 2.40
Dafabet 3.15 2.70 2.55
Marathonbet 2.99 2.79 2.35
Pinnacle 3.10 2.75 2.47
SBO 2.80 2.69 2.37
William Hill 3.00 2.62 2.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.