FUS Rabat
vs
Raja Casablanca
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raja Casablanca
0 – 1 Predicted score · 20% model probability
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca
| Probability | FUS Rabat | Draw | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.0% | 35.2% | 47.8% |
| Market | 29.8% | 33.1% | 37.1% |
| Final | 26.6% | 33.7% | 39.8% |
| Edge | -12.8% | +2.1% | +10.7% |
Why Raja Casablanca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Raja Casablanca below the model: +10.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca match preview
FUS Rabat faces Raja Casablanca in the Botola Pro with kickoff set for October 13, 2026. The match probabilities indicate FUS Rabat has a 27% chance of winning, while Raja Casablanca stands at 40%, with a 34% likelihood of a draw. The most probable scoreline is 0-1 in favor of Raja Casablanca, which aligns with expected goals of 0.54 for FUS Rabat and 1.09 for Raja Casablanca.
Recent form shows FUS Rabat struggling with two draws and three losses in their last five matches, while Raja Casablanca has fared better with three wins and two draws in the same period. In their last ten encounters, Raja Casablanca has dominated with seven wins compared to FUS Rabat's two victories and one draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.63
FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca attack and defence ratings
FUS Rabat
Raja Casablanca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 39.8% | 2.51 | +10.7% | 2.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FUS Rabat | 26.6% |
| Draw | 33.7% | |
| Raja Casablanca | 39.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.9% |
| No | 71.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.1% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.7% |
| 0-1 | 20.2% | |
| 1-1 | 12.7% |
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca stats
FUS Rabat and Raja Casablanca recent form
| FUS Rabat |
DLLLDW |
| Raja Casablanca |
DWWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 4-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | FUS Rabat | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-01-26 | FUS Rabat | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-02 | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-10 | FUS Rabat | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
| 2023-11-06 | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | FUS Rabat | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-29 | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-27 | FUS Rabat | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-26 | Raja Casablanca | FUS Rabat | Botola Pro | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FUS Rabat vs Raja Casablanca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.8%, draw 33.1%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.07 | 2.79 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 2.38 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 3.15 | 2.65 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 3.00 | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 3.15 | 2.70 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 2.79 | 2.35 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10 | 2.75 | 2.47 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 2.69 | 2.37 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.62 | 2.40 |