Botola Pro · ·Matchday 4

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat

Garuda Lions Prediction: UTS Rabat

0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability

CODM Meknès 22%
Draw 29%
UTS Rabat 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance UTS Rabat wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
13% of simulated outcomes

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCODM MeknèsDrawUTS Rabat
Model21.5%29.0%49.5%
Market———
Final21.5%29.0%49.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why UTS Rabat

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.89.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat match preview

CODM Meknès faces UTS Rabat in the Botola Pro on October 17, 2026. According to our model, UTS Rabat has a 50% chance of winning, while CODM Meknès sits at 22% and a draw at 29%. The expected goals for CODM Meknès is 0.89, in contrast to UTS Rabat's 1.47. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%.

Recent form shows CODM Meknès with two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while UTS Rabat has been more consistent, achieving three wins, two draws, and no losses in the same period. In their last four encounters, CODM Meknès has not secured a win, recording three draws and one loss against UTS Rabat.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CODM Meknès ↓ / UTS Rabat → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 13% 10% 1 7% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat expected goals

CODM Meknès 0.89
UTS Rabat 1.47

Total expected goals: 2.35

CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat attack and defence ratings

CODM Meknès

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.22 +22%

UTS Rabat

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 UTS Rabat 49.5% 2.02 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.2% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.5% 1.98 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CODM Meknès21.5%
Draw29.0%
UTS Rabat49.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.8%
Under 2.558.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.5%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)78.5%
Handicap -1UTS Rabat win25.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss50.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
0-112.7%
0-010.7%

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat stats

CODM Meknès and UTS Rabat recent form

newest first
CODM Meknès DLWLWD
UTS Rabat DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0CODM Meknès wins 3Draws 1UTS Rabat wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-17UTS RabatCODM MeknèsBotola Pro2-0
2026-01-31CODM MeknèsUTS RabatBotola Pro1-1
2025-02-14CODM MeknèsUTS RabatBotola Pro0-0
2024-10-19UTS RabatCODM MeknèsBotola Pro0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

CODM Meknès vs UTS Rabat odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 UTS Rabat Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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