Botola Pro Β· Β·Matchday 5

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC

Garuda Lions Prediction: UTS Rabat

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 18% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.61.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Prince Moulay Hassan, Rabat

UTS Rabat 53%
Draw 31%
Wydad AC 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance UTS Rabat wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
35%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
18% of simulated outcomes

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUTS RabatDrawWydad AC
Model53.2%30.9%15.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final53.2%30.9%15.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why UTS Rabat

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.61.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC match preview

UTS Rabat is favored to win against Wydad AC with a probability of 53%, while the chances of a draw stand at 31% and Wydad AC at 16%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an 18% likelihood. UTS Rabat has shown solid recent form with two wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Wydad AC has struggled, managing only one win in their last six games.

In terms of expected goals, UTS Rabat is projected to score 1.34, compared to Wydad AC's 0.61. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 35%, and the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 31%. In their last four encounters, UTS Rabat has secured one win, while Wydad AC has achieved two victories and one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

UTS Rabat ↓ / Wydad AC β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 18% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 59%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

UTS Rabat and Wydad AC expected goals

UTS Rabat 1.34
Wydad AC 0.61

Total expected goals: 1.95

UTS Rabat and Wydad AC attack and defence ratings

UTS Rabat

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.69 -31%

Wydad AC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

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UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 UTS Rabat 53.2% 1.88 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 69.0% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 65.0% 1.54 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.1% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2UTS Rabat53.2%
Draw30.9%
Wydad AC15.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.0%
Under 2.569.0%
Both teams to scoreYes35.0%
No65.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.1%
12 (either side)69.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1UTS Rabat win26.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.8%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.9%
0-015.4%
1-112.8%

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC stats

UTS Rabat and Wydad AC recent form

newest first
UTS Rabat LDWWWD
Wydad AC DDWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1UTS Rabat wins 1Draws 2Wydad AC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-05Wydad ACUTS RabatBotola Pro1-2
2026-03-08UTS RabatWydad ACBotola Pro3-4
2025-01-12Wydad ACUTS RabatBotola Pro2-1
2024-09-20UTS RabatWydad ACBotola Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 UTS Rabat Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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