Wydad AC
vs
Moghreb Tetouan
Garuda Lions Prediction: Wydad AC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.95.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan
| Probability | Wydad AC | Draw | Moghreb Tetouan |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 30.4% | 25.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.4% | 30.4% | 25.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Wydad AC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan match preview
Wydad AC faces Moghreb Tetouan in the Botola Pro with a probability of winning set at 44%, while the chances for a draw stand at 30% and for Moghreb Tetouan at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.34 for Wydad AC compared to 0.94 for Moghreb Tetouan.
Recent form shows Wydad AC with mixed results, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Moghreb Tetouan has struggled, with no wins in their last six games, including three draws and three losses. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 46%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is 40%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan attack and defence ratings
Wydad AC
Moghreb Tetouan
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wydad AC | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wydad AC | 44.4% |
| Draw | 30.4% | |
| Moghreb Tetouan | 25.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.4% |
| No | 53.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wydad AC win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 55.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.5% |
Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan stats
Wydad AC and Moghreb Tetouan recent form
| Wydad AC |
WDDWLL |
| Moghreb Tetouan |
LLDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wydad AC vs Moghreb Tetouan head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-04 | Moghreb Tetouan | Wydad AC | Botola Pro | 1-2 |
| 2024-09-14 | Wydad AC | Moghreb Tetouan | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.