Ittihad Tanger
vs
CR Khemis Zemamra
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ittihad Tanger
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.94.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra
| Probability | Ittihad Tanger | Draw | CR Khemis Zemamra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.0% | 25.0% | 18.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.0% | 25.0% | 18.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ittihad Tanger
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 0.94.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra match preview
Ittihad Tanger faces CR Khemis Zemamra in the Botola Pro with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Ittihad Tanger has a 57% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25% and CR Khemis Zemamra at 18%. The expected goals for Ittihad Tanger are 1.82 compared to 0.94 for CR Khemis Zemamra. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood.
Recent form shows Ittihad Tanger with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while CR Khemis Zemamra has struggled, recording four losses and one draw. In their last four encounters, Ittihad Tanger has secured one win, while CR Khemis Zemamra has triumphed in three. The model indicates a 52% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.75
Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra attack and defence ratings
Ittihad Tanger
CR Khemis Zemamra
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ittihad Tanger | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ittihad Tanger | 57.0% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| CR Khemis Zemamra | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ittihad Tanger win | 33.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 43.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.5% |
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra stats
Ittihad Tanger and CR Khemis Zemamra recent form
| Ittihad Tanger |
WLDWWL |
| CR Khemis Zemamra |
LDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ittihad Tanger vs CR Khemis Zemamra head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Ittihad Tanger | CR Khemis Zemamra | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-08 | CR Khemis Zemamra | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | CR Khemis Zemamra | Ittihad Tanger | Botola Pro | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-23 | Ittihad Tanger | CR Khemis Zemamra | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.