Botola Pro · ·Matchday 7

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara

Garuda Lions Prediction: CR Khemis Zemamra

1 – 0 Predicted score · 7% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — CR Khemis Zemamra is the favourite, not a value bet.

Stade Terrain Ahmed Chokri, Zemamra

CR Khemis Zemamra 36%
Draw 30%
Widad Témara 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance CR Khemis Zemamra wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
41%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
7% of simulated outcomes

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCR Khemis ZemamraDrawWidad Témara
Model17.0%28.8%54.2%
Market42.7%30.4%26.9%
Final36.3%30.0%33.7%
Edge-6.4%-0.4%+6.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.19, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -20.5% per unit staked (our 36.3% × 2.19 − 1).

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara match preview

CR Khemis Zemamra faces Widad Témara in a Botola Pro match with a predicted outcome that suggests a competitive encounter. According to our model, CR Khemis Zemamra has a 36% chance of winning, while Widad Témara holds a 34% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of CR Khemis Zemamra, which has a 7% chance of occurring.

In terms of expected goals, CR Khemis Zemamra is projected to score 0.72, whereas Widad Témara is expected to net 1.48. Recent form indicates that CR Khemis Zemamra has struggled, recording five losses in their last six matches, while Widad Témara has shown some resilience with three wins in their last six outings. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

CR Khemis Zema ↓ / Widad Témara → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 15% 12% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara expected goals

CR Khemis Zemamra 0.72
Widad Témara 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.20

CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara attack and defence ratings

CR Khemis Zemamra

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Widad Témara

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Botola Pro

Before and after this match

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 CR Khemis Zemamra 36.3% 2.75 -6.4% 2.19
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score No 59.2% 1.69 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 83.0% 1.21 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2CR Khemis Zemamra36.3%
Draw30.0%
Widad Témara33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%
Both teams to scoreYes40.8%
No59.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)63.7%
Handicap -1CR Khemis Zemamra win5.1%
Push (exactly one goal)11.9%
Loss83.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-115.2%
1-113.0%
0-012.3%

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara stats

CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

CR Khemis Zemamra and Widad Témara season so far

league record

CR Khemis Zemamra record

  • They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Widad Témara record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

CR Khemis Zemamra vs Widad Témara odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.7%, draw 30.4%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.11 2.97 3.38
Bet365 2.10 2.90 3.40
Betano 2.18 3.00 3.40
Dafabet 2.13 3.00 3.35
Marathonbet 2.09 2.97 3.30
Pinnacle 2.19 3.13 3.24
William Hill 2.10 2.90 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.11 —
X 2.97 ▲ +0.01
2 3.35 ▲ +0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 CR Khemis Zemamra Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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