Hassania Agadir
vs
Renaissance Berkane
Garuda Lions Prediction: Renaissance Berkane
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.78.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Renaissance Berkane is the favourite, not a value bet.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane
| Probability | Hassania Agadir | Draw | Renaissance Berkane |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.0% | 31.3% | 47.7% |
| Market | 23.6% | 29.1% | 47.3% |
| Final | 23.0% | 29.7% | 47.4% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.5% | +0.1% |
Why Renaissance Berkane
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.78.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.95, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.6% per unit staked (our 47.4% × 1.95 − 1).
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane match preview
Hassania Agadir faces Renaissance Berkane in an upcoming Botola Pro match, with probabilities indicating a 23% chance of a win for Hassania Agadir, a 30% likelihood of a draw, and a 47% chance for Renaissance Berkane to secure victory. The expected goals for Hassania Agadir stand at 0.78, while Renaissance Berkane has a higher expectation of 1.30 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring with a 15% probability.
Recent form shows Hassania Agadir with mixed results, recording one win in their last six matches (L-D-D-W-L-W), while Renaissance Berkane has been more consistent, with four wins in their last six (W-D-W-W-D-D). Historically, the last ten encounters between the teams have been evenly matched, with both sides claiming four wins each and two draws.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane attack and defence ratings
Hassania Agadir
Renaissance Berkane
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Renaissance Berkane | 47.4% | 2.11 | +0.1% | 1.95 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hassania Agadir | 23.0% |
| Draw | 29.7% | |
| Renaissance Berkane | 47.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Renaissance Berkane win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 52.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 13.9% | |
| 0-0 | 13.8% |
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane stats
Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane recent form
| Hassania Agadir |
LDDWLW |
| Renaissance Berkane |
WDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane season so far
Hassania Agadir record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Renaissance Berkane record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Hassania Agadir | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Renaissance Berkane | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-13 | Hassania Agadir | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro | 2-0 |
| 2024-11-23 | Renaissance Berkane | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Hassania Agadir | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-04 | Renaissance Berkane | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-29 | Hassania Agadir | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
| 2022-09-01 | Renaissance Berkane | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-02 | Hassania Agadir | Renaissance Berkane | Botola Pro | 2-0 |
| 2021-09-29 | Renaissance Berkane | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hassania Agadir vs Renaissance Berkane odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 23.6%, draw 29.1%, away 47.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.84 | 3.06 | 1.93 |
| Bet365 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.80 | 3.15 | 1.95 |
| Betfair | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.87 |
| Dafabet | 3.90 | 3.25 | 1.94 |
| Marathonbet | 3.74 | 3.06 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.98 | 3.22 | 1.91 |
| SBO | 3.44 | 2.83 | 1.90 |
| William Hill | 3.80 | 2.90 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .