Moghreb Tetouan
vs
Widad Témara
Garuda Lions Prediction: Widad Témara
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara
| Probability | Moghreb Tetouan | Draw | Widad Témara |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.9% | 32.9% | 36.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.9% | 32.9% | 36.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Widad Témara
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara match preview
Moghreb Tetouan will face Widad Témara in the Botola Pro with kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Moghreb Tetouan has a 31% chance of winning, while Widad Témara holds a 36% probability of victory, with a draw at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
In terms of expected goals, Moghreb Tetouan is projected to score 0.98, whereas Widad Témara is expected to net 1.09. Recent form shows Moghreb Tetouan struggling with five winless matches (L-D-D-D-L-L), while Widad Témara has seen a mixed performance with three losses followed by a win (L-L-L-W). Both teams to score is estimated at 43%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 34%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moghreb Tetouan and Widad Témara expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.07
Moghreb Tetouan and Widad Témara attack and defence ratings
Moghreb Tetouan
Widad Témara
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Widad Témara | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moghreb Tetouan | 30.9% |
| Draw | 32.9% | |
| Widad Témara | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.9% |
| No | 57.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Widad Témara win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 14.0% | |
| 0-1 | 12.3% |
Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara stats
Moghreb Tetouan and Widad Témara recent form
| Moghreb Tetouan |
LDDDLL |
| Widad Témara | LLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.