Raja Casablanca
vs
Hassania Agadir
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raja Casablanca
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.18.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir
| Probability | Raja Casablanca | Draw | Hassania Agadir |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.2% | 26.3% | 25.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.2% | 26.3% | 25.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Raja Casablanca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir match preview
Raja Casablanca faces Hassania Agadir in a Botola Pro clash, with kickoff scheduled for October 28, 2026. According to our model, Raja Casablanca holds a 43% probability of winning, while Hassania Agadir has a 30% chance, and a draw stands at 27%. The expected goals for Raja Casablanca are 1.57, compared to 1.30 for Hassania Agadir. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Raja Casablanca, which has a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Raja Casablanca has recorded three draws followed by two wins, while Hassania Agadir has a mixed record of one win, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. Historically, Raja Casablanca has dominated their recent encounters, winning all four of their last meetings with Hassania Agadir. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55%, and both teams scoring is projected at 59%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.87
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir attack and defence ratings
Raja Casablanca
Hassania Agadir
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Amal Tiznit v CODM Meknès — match page
- UTS Rabat vs Wydad AC — team news & stats
- Moghreb Tetouan vs Widad Témara
- CR Khemis Zemamra v FUS Rabat — match page
- Kawkab Marrakech vs Difaa EL Jadida — team news & stats
- FAR Rabat v Ittihad Tanger — match page
- Maghreb Fès vs Renaissance Berkane — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 48.2% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 48.2% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Hassania Agadir | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win | 26.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 51.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir stats
Raja Casablanca and Hassania Agadir recent form
| Raja Casablanca |
WDDDWW |
| Hassania Agadir |
DWLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Raja Casablanca vs Hassania Agadir head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Raja Casablanca | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 2-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Hassania Agadir | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-23 | Raja Casablanca | Hassania Agadir | Botola Pro | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-01 | Hassania Agadir | Raja Casablanca | Botola Pro | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.