CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors

2 – 0 Full time

88′A. Barkok
90′M. Huja

Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca

Raja Casablanca 81%
Draw 13%
El Kanemi Warriors 5%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaja CasablancaDrawEl Kanemi Warriors
Model63.3%24.5%12.2%
Market87.1%9.8%3.2%
Final81.1%13.5%5.4%
Edge-5.9%+3.7%+2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Raja Casablanca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raja Casablanc ↓ / El Kanemi Warr → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 15% 11% 2 14% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Raja Casablanca and El Kanemi Warriors expected goals

Raja Casablanca 1.78
El Kanemi Warriors 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.44

Raja Casablanca and El Kanemi Warriors attack and defence ratings

Raja Casablanca

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.85 -15%

El Kanemi Warriors

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors: result vs prediction

Raja Casablanca 2 – 0 El Kanemi Warriors

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raja Casablanca 81.1% 1.23 -5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.2% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 59.0% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.6% 1.06 — —
Handicap -1 Raja Casablanca win 38.0% 2.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raja Casablanca81.1%
Draw13.5%
El Kanemi Warriors5.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.8%
Under 2.556.2%
Both teams to scoreYes41.0%
No59.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.6%
12 (either side)86.5%
X2 (draw or away)18.9%
Handicap -1Raja Casablanca win38.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.6%
Loss36.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.6%
2-013.9%
1-111.3%

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors stats

Raja Casablanca and El Kanemi Warriors recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Raja Casablanca wins 1Draws 0El Kanemi Warriors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-18El Kanemi WarriorsRaja CasablancaCAF Confederation Cup2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Raja Casablanca vs El Kanemi Warriors odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 87.1%, draw 9.8%, away 3.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.04 8.80 42.00
Bet365 1.05 13.00 29.00
BetVictor 1.05 5.50 15.00
Betano 1.06 7.80 27.00
Betfair 1.05 10.00 29.00
Dafabet 1.05 12.00 30.00
Marathonbet 1.02 9.90 26.00
William Hill 1.07 8.50 67.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.05 ▼ -0.01
X 9.35 ▲ +2.17
2 29.00 ▲ +12.00

8 snapshots recorded, from .