CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca

2 – 2 Full time

6′El Kanemi Warriors
23′M. Sharara
60′M. Oyewusi
83′El Kanemi Warriors

El-Kanemi Stadium, Maiduguri

El Kanemi Warriors 13%
Draw 26%
Raja Casablanca 61%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEl Kanemi WarriorsDrawRaja Casablanca
Model21.4%33.6%45.0%
Market10.5%23.6%65.9%
Final13.3%26.1%60.7%
Edge+2.7%+2.5%-5.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Raja Casablanca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.16 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

El Kanemi Warr ↓ / Raja Casablanc → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 17% 10% 1 10% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 29%
No goals 17%

El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca expected goals

El Kanemi Warriors 0.71
Raja Casablanca 1.16

Total expected goals: 1.86

El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca attack and defence ratings

El Kanemi Warriors

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Raja Casablanca

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca: result vs prediction

El Kanemi Warriors 2 – 2 Raja Casablanca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raja Casablanca 60.7% 1.65 -5.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.4% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 63.9% 1.56 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 86.7% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.8% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2El Kanemi Warriors13.3%
Draw26.1%
Raja Casablanca60.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.6%
Under 2.571.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.1%
No63.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.3%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)86.7%
Handicap -1Raja Casablanca win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.1%
Loss54.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-016.8%
0-116.6%
1-114.0%

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca stats

El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.5%, draw 23.6%, away 65.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 8.75 3.83 1.36
Bet365 8.50 3.80 1.38
BetVictor 7.00 3.50 1.30
Marathonbet 10.25 3.74 1.32
William Hill 8.50 3.80 1.36

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.