El Kanemi Warriors
vs
Raja Casablanca
Garuda Lions Prediction: Raja Casablanca
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca
| Probability | El Kanemi Warriors | Draw | Raja Casablanca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 30.6% | 46.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 30.6% | 46.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Raja Casablanca
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.34 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca match preview
El Kanemi Warriors face Raja Casablanca in the CAF Confederation Cup on October 18, 2026. According to our model, El Kanemi Warriors have a 23% chance of winning, while Raja Casablanca is favored at 47%, with a 31% probability of a draw. The expected goals for El Kanemi Warriors stand at 0.85, compared to Raja Casablanca’s 1.34, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
Recent form highlights contrasting performances, with El Kanemi Warriors recording a sequence of L-W-L-D-L-L, while Raja Casablanca has shown better consistency with W-W-D-L-W-W. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. Additionally, there is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca attack and defence ratings
El Kanemi Warriors
Raja Casablanca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
Before and after this match
El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Raja Casablanca | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Kanemi Warriors | 22.6% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Raja Casablanca | 46.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 53.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Raja Casablanca win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 53.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-1 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
El Kanemi Warriors vs Raja Casablanca stats
El Kanemi Warriors and Raja Casablanca recent form
| El Kanemi Warriors |
LWLDLL |
| Raja Casablanca |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.