CS Constantine
vs
USM Alger
Garuda Lions Prediction: USM Alger
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Constantine vs USM Alger
| Probability | CS Constantine | Draw | USM Alger |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.0% | 25.6% | 41.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.0% | 25.6% | 41.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why USM Alger
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger match preview
CS Constantine faces USM Alger in an upcoming Algeria Ligue 1 match, with the probabilities indicating a competitive encounter. CS Constantine has a 33% chance of winning, while USM Alger is favored with a 41% probability. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, as the model suggests a 64% chance for both teams to score and a 61% chance for over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, CS Constantine has struggled, recording three losses in their last five matches, alongside two wins. Conversely, USM Alger has shown better form, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five games. The expected goals for CS Constantine stand at 1.48, while USM Alger is projected at 1.68, indicating a closely matched contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Constantine and USM Alger expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
CS Constantine and USM Alger attack and defence ratings
CS Constantine
USM Alger
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Constantine vs USM Alger markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | USM Alger | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Constantine | 33.0% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| USM Alger | 41.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.9% |
| No | 36.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | USM Alger win | 21.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 58.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
CS Constantine vs USM Alger stats
CS Constantine and USM Alger recent form
| CS Constantine |
LLLWLW |
| USM Alger |
WLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CS Constantine and USM Alger season so far
CS Constantine record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
USM Alger record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Constantine vs USM Alger head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | USM Alger | CS Constantine | Algeria Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | CS Constantine | USM Alger | Algeria Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.